2017 College World Series - 6/14/2017

6-20-17 

Florida +140 released via @Twitter 6:50pm EST

6-19-17 10:45am EST

College World Series: No releases Monday

Daily releases 0-2

Futures:  LSU +410;  Florida +610

6-16-17 12pm EST

Welcome College Baseball fans to the 2017 CWS.  The final eight teams of the 64 seed NCAA Baseball Tournament are in Omaha, NE. to compete for the College Baseball Championship.  Here’s our breakdown of this outstanding event.

The Brackets

It’s important to understand the bracket set up for the College World Series.  One team in each bracket will win its first two contests.  That platoon is able to fully rest its pitching staff and spend time on the practice field while the other three teams in the bracket invest arms, and energy to survive and try to earn their way through said 2-0 team into the championship series.  Winning the first two games while not critical (both teams that started 2-0 last year did NOT make it into the Final series) is by far the preferred path to compete in the Final series.  

Ballpark

TD Ameritrade park is a cavernous ballpark that sits low next to the Missouri River.  Wind in the plains of Nebraska go from a light breeze to turbulent tornado in seconds.  No matter how hard wind may be blowing it comes in from the outfield straight into the hitter’s teeth.  A huge spacious outfield with wind blowing in is the norm.  Teams arriving in Omaha since 2011 have been forced to become more reliant on deep Pitching staffs, tight fielding, fleet outfielders, hitting for average, for extra bases, and sacrificing to score and win.  It’s mandatory to be able to play small ball in TD Ameritrade for the days of Gorilla ball and scores in the teens died with old Rosenblatt stadium up on the hill.

Omaha Fans

An underrated nuance to the CWS is which team(s) the fans in Omaha will gravitate to.  Remember that this is Big Red Football Country so teams like FSU or Florida (that have competed with the Huskers in bowls etc.) will be despised.  Omaha fans have a propensity to support any new underdog squad (perfect example last year was Coastal Carolina) provided of course that LSU is not in the field.  If the Tigers are in Omaha make no mistake about the fact that the fans will back the Bayou Bengals as their own.  This tradition is based on Baton Rouge and Omaha being very similar tertiary cities with people that over time have become family for 13 days each CWS (yep LSU fans flock to the CWS even when the Tigers are NOT in the CWS)!  LSU will have overwhelming support in Omaha.

Odds to win CWS

                                        Bracket I                                          

OSU +275             LSU +410           FSU +750              CSF +1250           

        Bracket II         

Louisville +220      Florida +610        TCU +800         Texas AM +1750

Bracket I

Cal State Fullerton arrives an underappreciated and unnoticed team.  They took out Stanford and LBSU, two red hot teams to earn their way to Omaha.  CSF are 0-7 in their last 7 appearances in the CWS which is why it may be easy for many to overlook this group.  2015 was their last trip here and they and went 2 & BBQ (that’s Omaha talk for 2 and out). They Pitch well and field (highest fielding % of all eight teams) but they can sometimes struggle to score.  CSF has won a title in each of the last four decades but have not won one this decade.  The Titans are the top fielding team in Omaha, they sport a WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched) of 1.23 best behind only OSU and Louisville which means they play solid baseball and they don’t beat themselves.  Fullerton is a sleeper.

Oregon State is the power.  They’re ranked first in the Country (latest NCAA poll 5-29-17).  The Beavers play it the CWS way, they feature a 1.80 team ERA, field at .978%, have the lowest WHIP in the Tourney, allow the fewest hits per game and they steal bases.  This is a most complete team that has been steady, consistent and overpowering all-season long.  The Beavers have only lost four games and while impressive we must acknowledge that the Pac 12 was off a bit as far as deep talented baseball squads in 2017. There’s also an ugly unwanted plume of distraction that has followed the Beavers to Omaha.  These are college kids and the distraction this team and Coach Casey are facing will be difficult to overcome for synonymous with the CWS is ‘family environment’ and the story of P Heimlich remaining in Oregon will be addressed ad-nauseum.  This puts OSU without their top hurler, it forces them to talk about issues not baseball related in and out of the dugout.  Oregon State is carrying a heavy load from this perspective.

Florida State comes in healthy for the first time in months and playing the best baseball of their year.  Their Coach Mike Martin who’s had 38 years at the helm of FSU is the Ambassador to College Baseball coaching.  Martin is a true southern gentleman, everyone associated with College baseball would be elated if his team earned a title.  The Seminoles have been to Omaha 22 times in their history and have never won so to say they are due is an understatement.  They were a strike away from losing in the Super Regionals to Auburn but found a way to grind it out and be one of the remaining eight.  FSU is well balanced offensively (they score, they hit, they slug) but team ERA (3.72), hits allowed and fielding (lowest of the teams in Omaha) is a concern.  The Seminoles won’t have local fan support other than the loyalists hoping Martin can steal a Championship for Nebraskan’s are not Seminole supporters.

Louisiana State will be the darlings of the dance in Omaha.  The Tigers have had to learn their way into this new ballpark for they were the template of ‘Gorilla ball’ until they played in TD Ameritrade on two occasions with putrid results.  LSU is 1-4 in their last two CWS appearances so Coach Mainieri remade the team.  LSU now features pitching ace in Lange and a staff that has an ERA of 3.54, they have the best fielding percentage in the Tourney, they give up few hits and don’t walk men aboard. Offensively they can do it all as the team hits .294.  They’ve average 1.74 doubles per game (doubles mean well more than HR’s in TD Ameritrade), they run like deer in the outfield, have power and steal 1.10 bases per nine innings.  In 2015 LSU came to Omaha and went 2 and BBQ. Last year’s team lost eight players from 2015 and were beat in the Super Regionals by eventual CWS Champions Coastal Carolina.  After that Super regional setback, four junior leaders on the team capable of playing professionally decided to return to campus and lead LSU to the 2017 CWS.  The Tigers went from a youthful team last year in need of some seasoning to a veteran laden group who decided to return this year with purpose.  Experienced, focused, a complete team and a feverous fan following.  LSU is a contender.

Bracket II

Louisville is no secret to the gaming markets much to our dismay and they’re set up quite well as they open against the only unranked opponent in this year’s tournament Texas AM.  Louisville is complete yet they lack recent CWS experience (which we view as a premium). Last year Louisville was a highly ranked super power that was rolling along until they looked past a live underdog in UCSB who took the Cardinals down in two straight in Louisville.  The embarrassment and pain of that loss drives the Cardinals this year but we wonder if getting to O was the hiatus and they’ll need to learn how to win once in the Tourney.  Louisville pitching is a strength with a team ERA of 2.85, a 1.16 WHIP and the second fewest hits allowed in the Tourney.  This is a fundamentally sound club.  Louisville’s talent and placement in the bracket make them a worthy favorite yet at +220 the value on this team is non-existent.  Pass.

Texas A&M is the lone unranked team in this year’s Tournament.  They earned their place in the final eight yet faced only one ranked opponent (a 4-3 win over then 15 ranked Houston in the Regionals) on their way.  At A&M pitching is the strength of the team and they as they have three solid starting pitchers.  On offense A&M is better than the stats indicate.  Texas A&M’s had a relatively easy route to get to Omaha, they’re playing their best hardball of the year, they’re pitching is top notch they field well and may be getting overlooked.  Unfortunately for A&M they have not had success in Omaha going 2-10 in all time CWS appearances and 0-6 their last six games in Omaha but with ex Nebraska cornhusler Childress coaching the Aggies and some of his players on the staff that last took the Huskers to Omaha for this CWS (Bolt and Seely) look for the fans to be soundly supporting the Aggies.  Texas A&M opened as a +155 dog to Louisville Sunday in game one.  Interested.

Florida was In Omaha last year and they arrived with pomp and circumstance as chalk being bet to a Tourney favorite price of +180.  They had it all, pitching fielding, hitting, coaching and heaps of hype.  Their result was two and BBQ!  It’s this type of result (like that of LSU we mentioned and upcoming discussion of TCU) that we look to uncover for experience (especially poor) can provide a singularity of purpose, a laser focus for college hardball teams earning the chance to return to Omaha.  Florida pitches well, they are tied in fielding percentage with CSF & LSU and while they can sometimes struggle to score they sacrifice and steal to manufacture runs which is necessary at this baseball park.  Florida is steeped with experience and is a contender for the title.  If they can win their first game lookout for the Gators.

TCU is a marvel.  It’s a small private school with only 10,000 students and strict acceptance standards. What Coach Schlossnagle is doing in Fort Worth, TX is simply amazing.  TCU is making their fourth straight CWS appearance.  Last year they were one of the two teams to win their first two games only to get beat two straight and miss a shot at the final series.  TCU returns basically the same team as they fielded in 2016. They’re complete and focused on finishing what they started last year.  TCU has done it with team and not with statistics for they don’t top any of the statistical categories we track yet they are here again for the fourth time and being real quiet.  Laden with returning players from last year’s team gives the Horned Frogs real stability and confidence in their return to Omaha. The winner of this TCU/Florida game on Sunday is a certain threat in this Tournament.  It’s too bad they must face off in game one for they are both worthy candidates that may well have to play a couple games against one another to decide this side of the bracket.

Positions

Bracket I:  LSU +410 Championship          Bracket II:  Florida +610 Championship

Saturday game:  Cal State Fullerton +210

Sunday game:     Texas A&M +200

(released Saturday on The Green Zone, VSiN.Live with Matt Youmans and Jonathan Von Tobel Gamblou.com)

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming 


Money Morning: Puck Profit & UFC FN 110 results - 6/12/2017

Stanley Cup Playoffs 2017

NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs were a success in that we pulled profuse profit from the Passionates playing Puck.  Here's the final recap:

 26-32     44.83%    +9.47 Units    16.97% ROI

Rememebr Enthusiasts, it's business!

UFC FN 110

UFC FN 110 was another nice evening for us.  Early on Kim was forced off the card due to opponent illness, we replaced him with our first cut Nguyen +175 which ended up being a salty move as Nguyen submitted Elliott inside a minute of the first round!  

2-2 +1.85 units

By our tracking of closing numbers Favorites are 114-45-9 in the UFC in 2017. Chalk marching at a 71.6% clip is unnerving but we do what we do and we'll continue to work in an extreemly Selective manner as we work our way through this parade of Favorites.  We've profited in our last several cards so we feel our 'mo-jo' arriving just in time for the Dog days of Summer!

 UFC 2017

23-33     41.07%     +4.33 units     8.77% ROI

We're realizing profitability on underdogs at a 41.07% rate while underdogs in 2017 UFC have realized a win percentage of 28.3%.  Due Diligence, Selectivity and Money Management are the fulcrums to ...

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


UFC FN 110 Hunt vs. Lewis: Pencarrow Head...kick - 6/10/2017

Welcome fight enthusiasts to UFC from Auckland New Zealand where the fights will be going off early Sunday AM local time.  This allows the Western Hemisphere to be able to view these match-ups in or close to prime time.  Travelling around the globe can have its challenges so we’ll keep this in mind in our decision making as we employ every resource to uncover live underdogs.  We’re off a profusely profitable performance last week and next week we’re taking the card off as those fights occur in the middle of the evening plus we’ll be in Las Vegas for another appearance with the fine professionals at the Southpoint Hotel and VSiN talking College World Series and UFC.  Today however our single point of focus is to bank bottom line from these zealots in New Zealand.

-Let’s Fight-

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line, up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

Lewis -135 vs. Hunt +125

We’ve seen too many retirements this year in the UFC and wouldn’t this be a great spot for Mark Hunt to drop his gloves?  This is the one real reservation we have entering this fight.  Usually the Kiwi warriors and the home crowd would have us believing that Hunt was in an ideal spot to perform at his best tonight but the fact remains that he is at least 42 years of age and has slowly shown signs of slowing.  Lewis is a fighter but precision, skill, technicality and stamina are not characteristics of his game.  Rather Lewis is heart, soul, grit and toughness.  He’s been on a fine run but let’s not mistake that fact that if Hunt is to electrify the home crowd tonight he’ll need to be in a fight where the opponent comes right to him and engages in a striking war.  This is exactly the approach we believe ‘the Beast’ is going to undertake.  It’s a most dangerous tactic to head into Hunt’s homeland and try to take the one thing the proud warrior values above everything…. Kiwi Pride.

Hunt ITD +160

Brunson -275 vs. Kelly +250

This week ‘Morency Unfiltered’ we proclaimed Brunson too athletic, too skilled and too hungry for the overachieving Aussie Kelly.  We still believe this to be the case with modest modification.  Since the broadcast we’ve begun to feel that this fight may not be quite so one sided.  In fact, our due diligence has uncovered that Kelly intends to do all he can to weather Brunson’s early fury and try to take this fight deep, drag the American to the deck and roll like crocodiles on the canvas.  Kelly has an unusual Judo base and anything can happen when wrestlers and Judo based fighters square off for Judo based training partners are rare and that skill is so very difficult to emulate in practice.  Both guys are southpaws which turns the fight odd to begin with and while Brunson is the younger, taller, more athletic fighter Kelly is durable, focused, the local and tough as John Wayne’s saddle. This fight may not be as easy as many believe.

Brunson/Kelly starts Rd 3 -110

 

Twitter add:                                                                                                                Nguyen +175

Volkanovski -650 vs. Hirota +540

Volkanovski is a bright up and comer with a grinding grappling style.  He’s well rounded and should be a decent favorite in this position but this current line is obtuse and disrespectful to a true mixed martial artist in Hirota.  Volkanovski had an impressive debut and he’ll do all he can here to get his older opponent to the mat for a messy maul where he’ll hold advantage but at 29 Volkanovski is long on grit but short on polish and he could be in a trick spot tonight with the beguiling Japanese fighter.  Hirota is cagy weathered veteran who has a great experience edge in this fight as well he’ll sport stand up and power advantages.  Even though his opponent has a reach advantage Hirota will want to keep this standing and fight from distance as the charging Aussie attempts to force himself inside. This is not cakewalk for Volkanovski like many of the parlay playing pukes believe.   ‘Swing it Easy’

Hirota +540 (half)

Kim -120 vs. Gouti +110

Kim opened -185 and money has streamed in on the hound.  Gouti trains out of Jax-Wink which is a positive (that said recent Jax-Wink strikers have displayed dubious results in 2017) but we’re not so sure we can agree that he should be regarded on an even fighting keel with the explosive aggressive Korean, Kim.  Gouti has a basic stand up striking style and while the level of competition he has faced is superior to Kim’s we can’t help but notice how much taller/larger Kim will be.  Kim is more than willing to stand up and open-up for he is aggressive and willing.  Each fighter employs an overly aggressive offence while each are void of valued defense.  We feel Kim sports advantages everywhere this fight goes which is why we felt he was a worthy chalk.  If Kim uses any semblance of game plan he takes this guy to the floor for sound rounds of ground and pound…. Kim’s size, speed, athleticism, his ability to take this fight to the floor and the fact that he’ll be less affected by travel and time change issues are key factors in this position.  Value resides on Kim

Kim -120

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Money Morning: UFC & NHL Profit report - 6/5/2017

Good Monday profit enthusiasts.  Today we’ll provide a quick recap of UFC 212 and provide a complete up to date recap of our NHL Playoff season thus far.

UFC 212

It’s been a grind for us in the UFC this season as Favorites have been dominating.  Thus far in 2017 UFC Chalk is 107-42-8 (based on our tracking of closing odds) or 68%.  When chalk runs that consistent for five months our results can be affected for we are dedicated dog delvers who will take a flyer with a favorite ONLY if said chalk satisfies our vow for gaming value.  Each week we work diligently to uncover live underdogs that are in a position to perform at their best.  It took us until this past week to show profit in the UFC in 2017 based on the fact that the Mangy mutts as of yet have not begun to show their mettle.  Here’s our results for 2017.

UFC 2017:  21-31   40.38%    +2.48 units    +5.41% ROI

While these numbers look meager to date we encourage all to understand that we have been doing this for some forty years and while we’re unable to control when we win and when we lose.  What we can control is our approach, our management of money as well we maintain strict control over the selections we release for make no mistake about it…..we’ll end the year profitably!  In the UFC in 2017 dogs are winning at a 32% clip yet if one reviews our numbers it’s apparent that at 40.38% we are out maneuvering the dismal display of dogs thus far in the season. 

Chalk will not end the year above 65% in our opinion so those that choose to stay with us will realize that regression to the mean is tangible and we are about to blow the lid off of the UFC just in time for the summer festival of fights.  Our advice? Don’t desert the dogs…..

NHL Playoffs

This year we are having a banner year in the NHL. Here’s the season results to date:

NHL 2017:  26-32   44.83%    +12.47 units     +22.76 ROI

GambLou clients own the Predators for the Cup at 2 units +193 so to say we are eagerly awaiting the regression of the Penguin stamina is an understatement.  We feel the Pens are steeped with experience, grit, guile, pride and class but the Preds own hunger and fresh legs….Let’s pull the Preds into a playoff performance unseen in many years…..a team down 0-2 coming back to hoist.  We believe!

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 


UFC 212 Aldo vs. Holloway: Rio Naked Choke - 6/3/2017

Welcome fight Enthusiasts to UFC 212.  Tonight’s card is steeped with fine matchups many of which seem designed to feed the fervor of fighting in Brazil as well highlight young dynamic Brazilian talent.  As usual our eye is trained to seek value especially in the form of underdogs poised to offer their best and perform for 'we and dem' at a price.  Here’s what we've decided to release this week as our freebie for UFC 212.  Best of Luck to all 

-Let’s Fight-

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line, up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

Aldo -140 vs. Holloway +130

Fights like this one come around only a couple times per year if we, the fans are lucky.  This is going to be a war between the two best fighters in the Bantamweight Division.  Aldo is without question the Champion who save for some fifteen seconds against McGregor has shown himself to be the king of the Bantams.  Holloway for some time now is fighting his best and much of that can be attributed to the confidence he gained in his loss to McGregor some years ago for since that setback the young Hawaiian has dominated in focused, furious fashion to earn his way to this spot. 

Holloway’s length, size and aggressive forward working style are going to trouble Aldo for since Aldo’s experience with Conor he may well be susceptible to a bully who will come straight at him and engage him, pressure him and take the fight to him.  Holloway will to do just that unlike any of the other fighters that Jose has hammered.  While Edgar did try to take the fight to Jose remember that Frankie is well older than Jose and his skills are eroding ever so slightly plus that fight was a year ago and it was arguable Aldo’s best performance (we’re of the opinion that it will be difficult for Jose to match that last effort to be honest).  Aldo has never fought an opponent that has had such a size advantage over him.  Holloway’s size, his style, his frenetic forward pressure and his confidence entering this bout will trouble Jose and provided Max is able to address the take down attempts that will eventually come from Aldo (once he is aware that he is overmatched standing) this fight will swing to Max as it wears on.  Aldo is a warrior, a true Champion and a regal representation of the dynamic Brazilian Jiu- Jitsu fighting base but in our opinion, it is Max Holloway’s time now and we believe he will earn the title tonight

Holloway +130  

Moraes -225 vs. Assuncao +205

Moraes is an accomplished well rounded talented fighter who has been preparing for this opportunity for some time.  It’s his opinion (and that of the Makers) that he is going to roll into the UFC and take out the top of the Bantamweight division.  When we handicap Assuncao we look no further than his list of recent fights that include wins over the likes of Dillashaw (he split 2 fights with TJ) Munhoz, Caraway and Sterling.  As a termed UFC veteran, he’s now pitted against his fellow Countryman who’s been awarded this level of fight based on nothing he has accomplished IN the IFC.  We interpret this opponent, situation as providing Assuncao with great motivation and focus for he’s a bona fide top three contender in the division and they give him this kid.  We look for Assuncao who is the well more experienced fighter to hold his own in the stand up and eventually mash Moraes onto the mat for a maul.  Assuncao will need to get this fight to the floor to gain advantage and Moraes will do all he can to keep this standing.  We’re hoping for a foray on the floor.

Assuncao +205

Borrachinha -260 vs. Bamgbose +240

Borrachinha enters this fight off a dominating performance over a statuesque, old shot fighter who was made for him in style and lack of explosiveness.  Today the young brash Brazilian gets a guy in Bamgbose who fights similarly to him in many ways except that Bamgbose has more UFC experience than the young mauler and he’s fought a full three rounds prior (Ferreira last out 3 round decision).  We’d decided to invest in Bamgbose originally then Borrachinha’s unprofessional stunt at the weigh-ins yesterday solidified our intent.  That total lack of professionalism by the big Brazilian baby has us feeling he’s realizing that Bamgbose is going to show up a well different opponent than the Zombie they put him in there with last out.

Bamgbose +240 (half)

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Stanley Cup Final: Penguins vs.Predators: series breakdown - 5/29/2017

Here's our veiw of the Stanley Cup Final series.  This was submitted to VSiN Live yesterday and appears on their front page at VSiN.com.  Thank You to the leadership and professionals at VSiN for recognizing our work.  Best of luck to all Hockey fans and Happy Memorial Day to all.  Our Veterans past and present allow us to voice our opinions because of the selflessness they displayed for this country! Salute'

Stanley Cup Final

Series line (Southpoint) Pittsburgh -160 vs. Nashville +150

Key Injuries

The culture of Hockey is to minimize the effect of injury, and there has been no better example of that this playoff season than the Penguins who have said nothing through many team issues.  Nonetheless, we outline injuries that are bound to affect each team in this series.

Pittsburgh: D Letang, W Hornqvist, D Ruhwedel, D Shultz (played last game), W Kuhnhackl.  The Pens are getting healthier as this playoff run extends.  LeTang will not return but the Pens are gradually gaining players, especially on Defense, where they are thin in depth of talent.

Nashville:  C Johansen is out, as is W Fiala; team captain Fisher is on the ice and perhaps set to return early in this series. 

Style of Play

Pittsburgh’s team strength (besides a team-wide wealth of Playoff experience) is the play and capability of their frontline Center positions where Crosby and Malkin dominate play and newcomer Kuentzel has contributed immediately. The Pens must rely on G Murray in net to play like he did last year (2.08 GAA), as their defense is the one area of this team in need of improvement. This platoon has been hit hardest by the lack of continuity that injury and shuffling players brings.  Therefore, the Pens will want to undertake a free skating style of play - one in which they can take the lead then press for the Penguins will not want to fall behind the Predator defensive juggernaut.

Nashville’s strength (besides tremendous team speed) is that they execute playoff hockey ‘from the goal out’, meaning that they have Rinne who is this year’s top Minder of the playoffs in net, insulated by the top three sets of defensemen in the game.  Injuries to the Predators have diluted the talent in their already-challenged offense, thus the Preds offense against the Pens defense is a critical matchup in this series.  Nashville will utilize a frenetic, physical style of play that complements their overall advantage in team speed to try to jump up on the Pens and then control the pace of play pressuring the Pen Defense with an aggressive blue line when the Preds are on the offensive attack.

Questions

The questions for the Pens are twofold:  First, can they overcome the amount of hockey they’ve had to play to get here?  Coming into this series the Pens have played 19 full playoff hockey games (and they started five periods of OT within those three series), while the Preds are here in 16 full games (three periods of OT).  The Pens have played in back-to-back seven game series against top rated NHL playoff teams, the last of which was a double OT victory.  This is a ton of pressure hockey on a team that is already affected by the attrition of the Stanley Cup Tournament.  Second, can they score goals? The Pens played a uniquely defensive team in the Senators last series, but the fact remains that in four games of that series they scored only one goal. 

The Preds questions revolve around whether they will be overwhelmed by the experience and pressure offense of the Pens.  Also, will the time off allow G Rinne to maintain his dynamic level of play (GAA 1.81 this playoff season)?  Can the Preds defense continue to pressure on offense while they attempt to corral the most dynamic and experienced set of goal scorers in today’s game?  These questions will be central in discovering which team will own advantage as this series progresses.

Intangibles

Positive Penguin intangibles are their vast team experience, guile, savvy and determination.  This team hoisted Lord Stanley’s Cup last year, and many players were on this team when they hoisted it in 2009.  Seven Pens players sport 100 or more games of playoff experience.  We’d be remiss not to mention the phenomenal job Coach Sullivan has done for these Penguins.  His hire has been as dynamic as any made in the Mario Lemieux regime, and it defines the fact that, in today’s NHL Pittsburgh is as organizationally sound as any team in Hockey.

For the Preds, only captain Fisher has played in 100 or more playoff games and has Cup experience.  Nashville enters this series with a lack of experience but an abundance of ‘fresh legs’, and once they re-enter ‘playoff mode’ they’ll be the faster, quicker and even more physical bunch.  With a week of rest and many fewer minutes of ferocious play under their belts, I am quite confident that as this series progresses they will be the far fresher, faster firing team. Their run deep into the Campbell final series last year earned them a PhD on the importance of ‘fresh legs’ and this team has been focused on this opportunity since game one against the Blackhawks this year, another wily, cagey experienced team that was supposed to own the Predators.  Coach Laviolette is the fourth Coach ever to deliver his third team to the Cup Final series so all may be assured that this team will be prepared, focused and willing to challenge themselves against the World Champions

Prediction

The way to hoist a Stanley Cup is to play hockey ‘from the goal out’ and this is the template for the Predators.  It’s also our judgment that this year’s playoffs have exemplified that youthful teams featuring exceptional speed (Preds, Oilers, Leafs, Sens and Pens) own advantage over those that do not.  The Pens are laden with precision, grit and guile while the Preds play from Rinne out, have fewer games played, are well rested, sport greater team speed and have a Minder playing the best hockey of his career. This series as more evenly matched than current pricing indicates.

We handicapped the Series Pens -120 to Preds +110

Based on home ice the Pens should be a slight Favorite. Therefore, we recommend taking every penny of advantage with the Predators +150 or better.

Special Game One note:  It’s our experience that teams in Cup playoff series’ can have difficulty overcoming more than 4-5 day’s rest.  Contrary to popular belief, it takes a team with rest a couple periods or even a full game to catch up to the team that just finished frenetic playoff hockey.  We believe that the advantage in Game One may reside with the Pens because of this observation and will only invest in the Preds series price at this time.  

Our plan is to place a couple of units of wager on the Preds but will only invest one now.  If the Pens do, in fact, win Game One, we will look to take another position on the Preds in this series at even more advantageous odds for in a seven game series we trust in their style of play, their team speed and their keen focus. 

Good luck to all. 

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 


UFC FN Gustafsson vs. Teixeira: Scaninavian Sunday Shots - 5/27/2017

Welcome to UFC Fight Night from Stockholm fight Enthusiasts.  This card goes off 10am EST Sunday morning and while the fighters overall are not widely recognized by the mainstream UFC fan we do believe we’ve located gaming value on the card.  We’ll remain selective with our releases as we’re tracking favorites in the UFC this year at a 92-34-7 clip.  Here’s a vote for trusting the process….

-Let’s Fight-

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line, up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

Taleb -450 vs. Enkamp +400

Taleb sports experience, durability and power while the Swedish prospect Enkamp arrives on short notice with the opportunity of his youthful career.  Taleb will need to smother the kid, clinch with the wiry striker and wear on him with constant incoming pressure to control the fight.  Enkamp on the other hand must maintain distance and use his quickness and speed to punish the more deliberate incoming Taleb with strikes and use his speed to even get his arms around the plodder and try to take him out.  We’ve never been impressed with Taleb and feel he may be in a bad spot Sunday.  We saw something from each man at weigh-ins that made us take out the Driver here….’Swing it Easy’

Enkamp +400 (half)

Hermannson -160 vs. Nicholson +150

Here’s your fight of the night Enthusiasts.  Hermannson is a precision puncher who will use his stand up to draw the bull close and force this fight to the floor for advantage.  Nicholson is brash brawling bully who’s tough as a two-buck steak and offers very little in the way of adequate defense whether standing or on the floor.  If Nicholson can make this a bar room brawl then this fight should be in his favor while Hermannson will want to use distance to pepper in raging rogue as he rushes into engage, drag him to the floor and try to chock the bloke.

Under 2.5 rounds +160 (half)

Gustafsson -265 vs. Teixeira +245

Gus opened -175 in this fight which in our judgement was a tight number but action has moved the line higher than the Kebnekaise mountain range in the län (county) of Norrbotten, northern Sweden.  Each of these men are toiling to overcome recent adversity.  Teixeira must find his way after a devastating KO loss while Alex must show the fight world that he is the Alex of old as opposed to the Alex that looked languished against Jan Blachowicz.  Alex requires distance to punish the more plodding Brazilian as he attempts to get inside and cling to the longer Swede and pummel him with punches inside the pocket.  If Alex can display the heart, the will and the conditioning to keep this fight at distance he will have advantage but we feel the grit, the desire and the capability lie with the Brazilian.   It’s our belief that Teixeira will eventually be able to work his way inside to make this fight ugly and drag the Viking to the floor for a flop where Glover will own advantage.  Five rounds is a long time….

Teixeira +250                  Teixeira ITD +440 (half)

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Preakness Stakes: Brutha Shue breaks it down - 5/19/2017

Here’s round two of the Triple Crown of Horse Racing nag Enthusiasts.  Our boy’s cashed on Looking at Leee last out (Kentucky Derby) and they seem to have feelings about him as well the rest of the field in the Preakness.  Let’s listen in…

 

Dream: Shue Redneck math says that Multiplier came home last race under 12 Seconds.  I’ll go with chalk and throw him in.  LAL is still being overlooked I think that is a mistake.

Shue: Correct Dreamer- 11.91 and I agree with you - gotta have him in there.  And as of this writing, the weather is not going to be a factor.  So having said that, I going chalk.  ALWAYS DREAMING (4-5), is truly a terriffic horse - and he can fly.  I think he'll go gate to wire here.  He'll take the lad and won't relinquish.  CLASSIC EMPIRE (3-1), with the ever disappointing Leparoux still aboard, is a solid horse.  But Leparoux let CE drift 4 gate widths to the outside into oncoming rivals and just got slammed!  He was done at that point.  And my LOOKIN AT LEE (10-1) is still a favorite of mine.  He is such a game horse - he'll just never quit on you - mud, slop, dry - whatever - he's an awesome runner I believe and just never gives up.  He'll have to get on it sooner if he's gonna catch AD.  And the one you mention Dean, MULTIPLIER (30-1), is most certainly worth a wager.  I agree having to include him.  To sum up, as I thought same in the KD, AD will be on the lead for sure - and he's just gonna say "catch me if you can".  So, here's me… Swingin' It Easy….

#1 Multiplier         (30-1)         $5.00  W-P-S             $15.00

#9 Lookin At Lee   (10-1)         $10.00 W-P-S           $30.00

$2.00 Trifecta Box                                                        $48.00

#1 Multiplier  #4 Always Dreaming  #5 Classic Empire  #9 Lookin At Lee

Total Wager                                                                  $93.00

DREAM:  I agree with all your bets brutha Shue..I might add gunnevera and conquest mo money in the third slot of a tri partial wheel they may hit the board even though both horses will be going in opposite directions.  It is worth noting that this is the third time LAL has faced gunnevera and he has ran by him twice. It could also be argued in the stretch at Churchill for the last 1/8th if LAL is in the 2 path and Always Dreaming was in the 3 path things would have been a lot closer. I agree LAL had a dream trip but he was against the track bias when he needed it most and AD had golf cart path watch and you be the judge…Good Luck!

Our Nag knowledgeable kept the Preakness short and sweet.  They’ll be back with profitable pony prognostications for the Belmont Stakes in a few weeks also…..good luck and by all means…’Swing it easy’

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 


UFC 211 Texas tap-out: Miocic vs. Dos Santos II - 5/13/2017

Welcome fight Enthusiasts to UFC 211.  Tonight, we have dynamic matchups coupled with the fact that we really like some of the fighters whose pricing has moved well into our favor.  We’ll keep it short, sweet and simple today as we outline four scraps we believe offer gaming value and fighters in position to offer their best effort.  Our free release for UFC 211 is below.  We encourage any interested in profiting from these pugalists to check out our slate of releases.  We wish you all best of luck tonight.  'Swing it Easy'!

-Let’s Fight-

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line, up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

Jedrzejczyk -180 vs. Andrade +170

Joanna Champion is one of the most lethal fighters in the UFC and with a couple more defenses of her title will be considered an all-time great UFC fighter.  The thing is we need to hear that from everyone other than the champ herself.  Joanna speaks of family, wanting to retire undefeated while doing cameo appearances as champion for the press as well she’s taken months away from home to train in Florida.  While these are all things grizzled champions are used to the fact remains that meteoric fame and success are not conducive to holding onto championship belts.  Joanna is elated to hear of the new 125 lady’s flyweight division for she does struggle to make 115 as witnessed by her weigh-in yesterday AM where she hit her mark of 115 just 5 minutes prior to the deadline looking gaunt and unhappy.  Andrade meanwhile is a fighter who toiled with the ladies at 135 until recently when she decided to dedicate, drop weight and strike with the Strawweight’s.  Andrade fights like John Linaker with relentless forward pressure, constant power striking and a granite chin.  This fight’s going to come down to distance and whether Joanna can maintain it to work off her vicious jab and leg strikes.  Much like Edgar will want to grope with Rodriguez to get him to the floor, Andrade will want to smother Joanna but Andrade’s angle is to eliminate Joanna’s distance thus taking her snap away and strike her inside the pocket where Andrade can be most effective. Andrade is focused and ready to provide us her best tonight. 

Andrade +170

Masvidal -140 vs. Maia +120

Masvidal is really a lightweight fighter that can’t make weight so he’s taken to Welterweight (where he still struggles to make 170) in order to earn.  While effective most recently against another 155’er taken to 170 (Cowboy Cerrone) is fresh on everyone’s mind let us remind all that Masvid

al is a funny cat and while he looked lethal against Cerrone he’s also looked disinterested and unaggressive at times in many other fights.  So, the striker Masvidal is up in division and he is going to face a guy in Maia that has dropped to 170 from 185.  Maia will be the much larger, taller man in the octagon come fight time and while he will not want to engage Masvidal at Jorge’s strength which is striking, he will want to find a way to clinch, cling and force Masvidal to the floor where Maia can smother and submit.  ‘Recency theory’ has bettors making Masvidal their choice which has allowed us to realize value on Maia as he opened -175 and we can now take Maia as a mangy mutt…

Maia +120

Edgar -115 vs. Rodriguez -105

Edgar is a pedigreed wrestling based fighter who has been in the Octagon with the who’s who of the UFC.  He’s rarely been beaten, has the heart of a Lion and is capable of fighting for five full rounds without issue.  His experience is vast and his skills are well-rounded and effective.  His opponent Yair Rodriguez represents the new breed fighter for the UFC with the style he opts for in the Octagon.  Flashy, athletic, striking based fighters are the UFC’s target for they provide the “Wow’ factor for the fans and flashy precision based striking sells product.  Rodriguez is younger, longer, taller and faster than Frankie and he’ll need to keep at distance to be able to tag him with all the spinning pomp and circumstance that he wants to display.  This step up to Frankie is too much too quick in our opinion and it’s a classic mishandle by the organization as well Rodriguez’s handlers in our opinion.  Frankie must find a way to make this a phone booth fight, clasp the capable up and comer and mash him to the mat for a mauling.  Rodriguez has never been in with this complete a fighter and today we feel he will earn his PhD in the UFC.

Edgar -115

Skelly -100 vs Knight -110

Skelly’s well rounded fight arsenal, his length, reach and experience plus the fact that he is a more complete MMA fighter at this point all make him a formidable foe and reasonable favorite in this fight.  Knight is a vicious, tough, electric, improving fighter and a capable grappler no doubt but he’ll have a tough time dealing with Skelly’s size, cardio and ground game.  Skelly opened a fair -195 and now he’s a pick.  We’ll grab the more complete mixed martial artist and more importantly the value…

Skelly +100

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs: Half way to Hoisting! Profit Report - 5/11/2017

We’re half way to Hoisting Puckheads!  Here’s a complete recap of our activity and profitability.  While most Future opportunities (offering value) have past we still plan on attacking the last two rounds with the same vigor as we have the previous two.  We’ve really dominated in the wild wild West while we still have mucho work to do in the Wales Conference.  Let’s review….

Round I: 11-7 +9.36 units          Round II:  8-9  +1.28 units

Futures still working

Predators for Campbell +758; Ducks for Campbell +660. Ducks for Cup +1500

Currently we stand 1-5 <4.45> units on releases made prior to the start of the playoffs.  We have added some prop and Future wagers through each round and any interested Profit seekers may access those records (as well ALL of our previous releases) by accessing the “Profitability’ tab on the top of the GambLou.com webpage.

Playoff passion hit a highpoint last night with two awesome game sevens and we’re only half way through!  More dynamic hockey and displays of individual and team dedication await us…

Interested in jumping in for the last rounds?  Hit us up

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Puck Passion: Profitability Update - 5/7/2017

Here's a quick update on our status in the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs 2017: 

GambLou.com clients hold a Future wager on the Preds +758 to win the Campbell Conference.  Clients also hold a Future on the Ducks to win the Conference +660 and the Cup +1500.  

The Predators have earned the right to compete for the Campbell Bowl against the winner of Wednesday's Duck/Oiler game 7.  We'll be paying keen interest in that game Wednesday after the Wales Conference holds a couple of game six contests where the Sens and Pens can each close out their opponents and move to compete for the Prince of Wales Trophy.

We'll provide a complete update on Profitability as soon as Round II is completed but here is a quick snapshot of our activity:

Round 1:  11-7 + 9.36 units

Round II:  7-10 <1.87> units

Futures working:  Preds for Conference +758; Ducks for Conference +660, Ducks for Cup +1500;  Caps for Cup +505; Senators series +135

The Playoffs are only half way determined and we are profitable to date with Futures working to insure bottom line profitability.  Round III will be available to purchase for any interested Puckheads wanting to jump in late and earn some bottom line profitability...

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Kentucky Derby Two Horsemen converse Brutha Shue & the Dream - 5/5/2017

Shue: Hello Boys - OK so see attached numbers I've just run.  A couple of first glance notices - firstly there are 21 horses in this mix.  SONNETEER, as of this writing, is not officially "in" the KD - as he will need a defection to be entered - which I hope he gets - because I have a legitimate lean towards him.  The "odds" column are the early odds set by Mike Watchmaker and by no means will stay the same come race day.  OK, so at first glance, from a numbers look only - I like homeboy GIRVIN (20-1), LOOKIN AT LEE (30-1) and GUNNEVERA (12-1).  All three have very consistent closing times with Girvin being the most solid.  OK Dreamer, hit me with the homeboy stuff - I deserve it.  He hasn't run in great company (true) and has had absolutely perfect trips last three races (true)....AND it's been like over 50 years since a Louisiana Derby winner has won the Kentucky Derby - lots going against him for sure.  Well, I'll let my numbers speak for themselves and represent!  Early thoughts now....and of course subject to change....

Correction....GRINDSTONE won the Kentucky Derby in 1996 - he was also the Louisiana Derby winner.

Dream: Thanks for the numbers Drew. I know you are a homer and I like the horse to be upfront at the mile pole trying his eyes out just don’t know if he can finish (times or no times he is slowing down on the end of his races). Horses I can’t fade right now are LLL, McCracken, Classic Empire.  Horses on the front that I think will hold on and get a piece Girvin, Always dreaming and practical joke.  Hence, Gunnevera and Always Dreaming are puzzling to me.

Just my early thoughts. I am looking for horses that want 1 ¼ with CD experience.  What are you going to do with McCraken?  Yes I am well aware of McCracken and CD along with LLL that is why I brought it up. I as well don’t like the Bluegrass as I pointed out. If you want to throw Classic Empire and McCracken be my guest.  Every year we get a lightly raced 3 year old with an awesome Beyer and it is usually a Pletcher horse.  Not a big fan of GP horses unless they showed something on another circuit. They always seem to fail and take too much money. Always Dreaming is Pletcher’s only shot so maybe keep him but exotics only.  I’m not going to try and convince anyone to keep McCracken but I am.  Hence may stay on in the final 1/4

Shue: Does PATCH (30-1) ring a bell then?  A lightly raced Pletcher horse - who, at your urging, I hit on in the La Derby.  He closed well I thought - and looking for a rider I believe.

Dream: Love the breeding! Not a huge over the top Beyer. I wish the breeding was flipped tough with AP Indy up top. Then we would really have something to talk about. Pletcher seems to have them cranked for the minor rewards.  Using my redneck math I came up with these final 1/8th times.  I used N/A next to times I believe the horse either didn’t run his race or had an excuse.  Two horses with N/A’s I think might be worth exploring were Looking at Lee and McCracken.

Shue: Noted and FYI, I use, as a benchmark, 1 length = 1/5 of a second. The timed fractions come from the 'calls' and the times of the lead horse given in the past performances from the DRF. If you ÷ my quarter mile times by 2 - we are almost spot on. Double check PATCH (30-1), I think. I had him closing in 12 flat. And brother, I am loving LAL (30-1)! He's flying at the end of the Arkansas Derby - meandering his way down the stretch. HENCE (20-1) on my radar too….

Dream: Well, you got my response on the reason why we are off. The last 1/8th is the last 1/8th. Not the last quarter divided by 2. 5 lengths 3 lengths doesn’t matter he was ahead on last two calls for the final 1/8th he ran 12.4.  I am sticking with my top three sections on top.  McCracken who needed last and it was a dry run last go around as I pointed to the connections and past examples.  Classic Empire who is the 2 year old champ and will probably improve closed well in Arkansas.  Looking at Lee jockey has held him back until the switch with Lanerie is a big plus was closer to pace last time and weaved all over the place should finished 2nd at least last time.  Closing times are there he will want the distance.

Horses underneath I will use 2nd and 3rd slot….Always dreaming because I have too.  Practical joke is a road warrior and always shows up has back class as with Classic Empire and Looking at Lee.  Hence working well and Sunland was good.  Sonneteer fastest closing of them all.  Last work was 47 and change at CD.  Gunnevera also closing but may be too slow early.  Girvin was slowing up but if they go slow he might get a jump to hold on for a piece.  I don’t know how I will bet it but top 3 will be in there.

Shue:  My top three are gonna be LOOKIN AT LEE (20-1), SONNETEER (50-1) and CLASSIC EMPIRE (4-1).  I'll have McCRAKEN (5-1) in there somewhere - just not sure where.  My breakdown goes like this:  LAL, despite finishing third in the Arkansas Derby, gave such a valiant effort - changing lanes 2-3 times in the stretch – and responding each time to direction of jockey Luis Contreras - hard charging all the way through - was quite impressive to me.  I just hope he has another set of booster rockets strapped on to get to the wire first come Saturday.  LAL has had some really nice closing times last two trips out too.  I think, (and hope), he's ready to nip them all at the wire for this one.  Sonneteer, still a maiden,  hasn't won a race at all.  But despite that humongous fact - he has the fastest closing time of all of the KD entrant’s last time out going 1 1/8.  And even though he finished 4th in the Arkansas Derby - he was the one running the fastest at the end.  And yes, bucking history with this one as it's been 98 years since a maiden won the KD - yes sir - 98 years!  And BTW, Sonneteer was charging a couple of ticks faster than LAL and the Ark winner CLASSIC EMPIRE (4-1). And speaking of CE, he is probably the best in the field this weekend.  But I am so not a fan of the Frenchman who will ride him on Saturday.  Leparoux, for whatever reason, always seems to find trouble in big races - always!  So for that reason and that reason only - I won't have him on top.  But then again, CE may be just that good, I suppose you could have a monkey in the irons and he'd still win.  And finally to McCraken.  Despite running a very poor closing time, as all of the Blue Grass runners did, he is at his home track - where he has 3 wins in 3 starts there.  I truly believe in the home field advantage – and I really think McCraken has a true advantage here.  Save for the Blue Grass, he’s had some pretty consistent closing times.  It’s just that lackluster performance in the BG puzzles me a bit – but OK, he’s home now and loving the CD track – I’ll take him too!  But $adly, he’s been getting such good ink all week long, training extremely well, eating all of his oats etc., his price had dipped considerably.  Must not count him out.  And let me throw one more nugget your way – HENCE (15-1). Another Asmussen dude I like - he’ll stalk and he can run too.  My hope is that ALWAYS DREAMING (5-1), will jet straight to the lead and try to go gate to wire – just like his daddy Bodemeister tried to do, but came up short – gassing in the last 150 yards.  Make no mistake, he’s a super horse for sure, but I don’t think he’ll have the juice to finish strong.  I do think he’ll set a super-hot pace though – which will make way for my closers LAL, CE and Sonneteer.  Hopefully my guys won’t wait too long to get going.  Giddy up ya’ll!!!!!

Shue’s Bets

$10.00   W-P-S   #1 Lookin At Lee (20-1)     $30.00

$10.00   W-P-S   #8 Hence (15-1)                   $30.00

$10.00   W-P-S   #12 Sonneteer (50-1)         $30.00

 $2.00 Exacta Box (5 horses)                          $40.00

#1 Lookin At Lee (20-1), #8 Hence (15-1) , #12 Sonneteer (50-1), #14 Classic Empire (4-1), #15 McCraken (5-1)

 $1.00 Trifecta Box (5 horses)                         $60.00

#1 Lookin At Lee (20-1), #8 Hence (15-1), #12 Sonneteer (50-1), #14 Classic Empire (4-1),  #15 McCraken (5-1)       

     Total Wager       $190.00

Dream:  Shue, I agree with ALL of your picks and concur with your bets. One horse has been chewing at me and I think I need to back him along with my top 3 and that would be TAPWRIT according to the form he chased McCraken in the Sam F Davis stakes at Tampa but seemed to get blocked into the stretch turn and had to wait for McCraken to clear in the stretch. He was gaining on him quickly towards the wire. He returned to the Tampa Bay Derby and ran a bang up race breaking the stakes and track record. Regardless of what he ran against it was impressive and under the radar. He like McCraken did not show up in the Bluegrass and neither needed the points to get into the derby. He has been training well and very well could be under  at odds of over 20-1+. Your ¼ times had him at 24.52 for the Tampa Bay Derby that should put him in the mix if he is on top of his game.  I will use my same top three

LOOKIN AT LEE (20-1)          CLASSIC EMPIRE (4-1)               McCRAKEN (5-1)

I will use same horses underneath in the trifecta partial wheel as before but pull GIRVIN OUT and replace with TAPWRIT IN.

W,P,S on LAL, TAPWRIT, SONNETEER

This horse race is wide open and I can see just about 10 horses with shots in thiis one.  

Uncle Louis: There you have it Pony prognosticators....these guys have been damn good year in and year out with the Kentucky Derby.  Conduct your Due Dilgence, remain Selective, manage your money and always remember to ‘Swing it Easy’!

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 


Stanley Cup Playoffs: Puck Profits presented - 5/1/2017

Here’s a recap of Puck Profitability along with some statistics we track each year during Puck passion.

Statistics

Favorites Round I:  17-23-2    Favorites Round II:  2-7-1

Home teams Rd I:   19-23       Home Teams Rd II:  5-5

Profitability

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

Round I:  11-7 +9.36

Round II: 6-3   +3.88

Working Futures:

Ducks Campbell +660; Cup +1500

Preds Campbell +758

Caps Cup +510

Senators series vs. Rags +135

Oilers eliminate Blues in Campbell +590

(All 1 unit wagers unless specified otherwise)

Graded futures releases:

Preds series vs. Hawks +155 W

Jackets series vs Pens   +140 L

Habs Wales + 858 L (2u); Habs Cup +1400 L

(All 1 unit wagers unless otherwise specified)

In play series wagers: Hawks +340 L, Wild +310 L, Leafs +480 L

(.5 unit positions intended to minimize loss/maximize gain)

GambLou.com Clients stand +13.24

units since the Stanley Cup Playoffs have started with all Futures losses accounted for and 6 units of Futures positions working.

Round III Stanley Cup available to any interested parties….hit us up to ‘Swing it Easy’.

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Stanley Cup Profitability: Round I recap - 4/24/2017

Welcome Puckheads to the GambLou.com NHL Round I and Futures accounting.  Round I has provided us profitability while allowing us to pay out dead Future positions and reassess the Futures releases we have working into this second round of passion.  We attack this tournament by breaking it down into five rounds; Futures, Round I, Round II, Championship Round then Cup Final.  Let’s break down the Futures and Round I.

Round I:

11-7 +9.36 Units

Future releases: 

Ducks +660 Campbell; Ducks +1500 Cup

Predators +1200 Campbell (half)

It is our goal each year in the Stanley Cup Playoffs to earn enough profit in Round I to pay for our Futures releases and hopefully have investment dollars remaining to reinvest in Round II with enhanced profitability the goal.  This year our plan has worked well but we are only two stages into the five stage plan of attack so suffice it to say that there is much to do before we can claim any success for the 2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs. 

Round I is now history so we will now focus on Round II with the same fervor and passion by which we began this Tournament for there is profit to be earned and fantastic hockey to be absorbed and we will be involved in every maniacle minute of it. 

One Look at our remaining Futures positions and one notices that we are missing an active Future position in the Wales Conference (thanks Montreal) look for that to change as we release our second set of wagers prior to this Round II. 

As we did in the first round all Clients (and any new clients joining us for the second round) will load 10 tokens into the site then be able to see a running ‘on line’ time dated accounting of all our daily releases as well as any Futures we place prior to the drop of the frozen rubber Wednesday afternoon.  We post releases at least 59 minutes prior to the drop of the puck in order to try to gain every penny of value as we are dog delvers and the price on pups is best the closer we get to puck drop for most folk (at least the ones we are fading) play last minute so we try to wait to scoop up added value. 

As always I am available to any and all interested parties. lou@gamblou.com

Gamblou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming