2018 NFL Profitability: It's Business - 7/15/2018

NFL Consulting

Welcome potential NFL Consulting clients. At GambLou.com I employ a refined and calculated approach to realizing bottom line profit in Sports Gaming most especially few specialize sports that I focus solely on; the NFL, UFC, NHL Playoffs, MLB Playoffs and College World Series.  I’ve realized bottom line Profitability privately for decades and publicly via GambLou.com for the last five years (the last three years NFL results are displayed on our webpage’s ‘Profitability’ Tab) as I undertake sports gaming strictly as a profit earning business.

The approach is simple: I shoot from a rifle as opposed to a shotgun regarding profitable NFL gaming. I don’t offer my service by the game, the day or the week as I encourage a longer term approach which over time provides profitability. I target Investors that may not have the time to conduct appropriate research but do have a temperament for the benefits that WINNING Sports Gaming delivers. I also mandate that GambLou.com NFL clients are able to afford making unit wagers of $1,100.00 per.  I don’t win every wager but I do realize bottom line profit over the twenty two week NFL regular and playoff seasons. The service requires a monthly commitment because I am confident that after four weeks I’ll be able to display profitability above your initial investment plus profit. 

2014-16 results with win percentages, weekly profits and ROI are displayed for your review on the ‘Profitability tab’ found at the top of the GambLou.com webpage. Further, each week all documented Client results are published in my Money Morning blog. This practice allows those who are interested in the service to review actual results prior to making a commitment for a four week run at NFL profitability. Clients may choose to join at any time during the season but early entry allows for future wagers and Games of the Year which are released prior to the season’s start.

I stand by the results and commit to providing all Clients with their initial investment PLUS return in the first monthly period or I’ll extend the period until the initial investment is recoupled plus profit.

-The Service-

I limit Client relationships each year to a select few. Interested investors should feel free to contact me directly for questions/input as I am always open to dialogue. I strive to completely satisfy those willing to utilize my expertise and in turn create a loyal Client base. Slow matriculated growth is the GambLou.com approach and Client profitability is THE single point of focus.

Each Monday client results are managed so that as a team we are in complete control of client investment amounts, current balances, upcoming positions and bottom line profitability. My service runs for four NFL weeks which has been an appropriate time to show aptitude at NFL gaming and allows Clients to feel comfortable as they watch me operate.

The consulting fee for the initial 4 week period is $500.00. This covers all NFL activity (as well the college positions released via the Legendary Math Model which are always gratis). Clients signing up in August also receive all Future and GOY positions which are provided without charge once the subscription is received. Last year Clients profited handsomely over their weekly NFL profits once our GOY and Future positions cashed. I plan more of the same this August but also exercise some patience on Future releases which may come some weeks into the season. When the value is right we’ll strike!

-Facts-

I'm extremely selective with releases and my win percentages allow for clients to earn profit well above the cost of my fee. One glance at the archives (all sports are archived and recorded) will display the results. My method involves comprehensive Due Diligence, extreme Selectivity with releases and precision money management. Synched together this approach across the few sports I specialize in provide my clients with bottom line.

2014 NFL results (regular season and playoffs):  +$13,100.00 52-37 (58.43%, 13.47% ROI)

2015 NFL results (regular season and playoffs):  +$21,800.00 53-31 (63.1%, 23.54% ROI)

2016 NFL Results (regular season and playoffs):  + $9,500.00 40-27 (59.70% 12.86%ROI)

2017 NFL Results (RS and Playoffs)                         + $10,530.00 47-37 (56% 10.53% ROI)

High win percentages enable me to make aggressive moves with regard to buying off or through key numbers (which I do aggressively). I play middle positions when it is advantageous and work money lines (especially in the playoffs) in order to enhance the bottom line. Critical is the use of the 6pt. -110 teaser, which clients must have the ability to utilize (which is getting more and more difficult).

-My Pledge-

Any client choosing to utilize this service may expect the following:

- 2 to 5 total positions per week which equates to anywhere from 8 to 14 positions total for the initial month (average about 4 releases per week) so profitability must be your goal not ‘action’.
 

- Personal access to me throughout the week via E mail and phone if requested. I interact with each client each Monday to update figures and account to the penny and for the premium price make myself available to clients at any time and for any reason. I often invest aggressively early in the NFL week to obtain line advantage over the gaming market. This provides middle opportunities and other value enhancing maneuvers I actively employ to derive market advantage.

- I am regular attendee’ of the famous but now diminishing Tuesday Meeting in Las Vegas (for years) with fellow professional Las Vegas handicappers (both private and public) on a regular basis to network and discuss profitable positions in an open forum. This form of due diligence is highly relevant and it is for Client’s benefit. The proof is in the results!
 

- NFL Future positions are provided to clients who have subscribed early which means joining in early August will allow you to gain access to any and all Future wagers and games of the year that I release. Last year, Future releases and Games of the Year (GOY) added to Client profits.
 

- Clients must have their own resources with which to invest. Clients must have the ability to buy half and full points and your outlet must accept 6pt two team teasers at -110 (tie is a tie). It also should be stated that Clients should be able to play each release at a minimum of $1,100.00 per release as anything smaller makes it difficult to justify the premium price of my subscription.

- Clients that understand that my approach to Profitable Sports Gaming is run as a strictly business thrive. I track each release and keep precise records of all Client transactions; balances and progress then update each Monday one on one.
- It must be understood that I provide consulting. I don’t take wagers nor do I condone anything that may be construed as illegal. My services are consultative based and focused toward an educated, refined Investor.
 

- Further questions may be addressed with me personally as I pride myself on tailoring the service to client needs. I offer consulting on a highly professional level for people who take their gaming seriously which is verified by the premium price of this undertaking. Those that wish to create a relationship will be dealt with in a professional and courteous manner.
To review last year’s Client testimonials please contact me directly.


UFC FN133 Dos Santos vs. Ivanov: Beatdown on the Bench - 7/14/2018

Welcome fight Enthusiasts to UFC FN 133 from Boise, Idaho. Tonight’s fight card is steeped with interesting matchups and value. I see a some potentially perilous positions but also have handicapped a couple of angles on fighters that arrive tonight poised to perform at their peak. I use every resource available to produce bottom line because after all, this is business.

-Let’s Fight-

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard/hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line, up to date reporting for all sporting events we work is available by accessing the ‘Profitability’ tab on the Gamblou.com webpage.  The Profitability tab displays win percentage, gross profit and bottom line profitability up to date in real time).

(Originally published 7-11-18 Point Spread Weekly VSIN)

Boise, Idaho hosts UFC Fight Night 133 this Saturday where ex-Heavyweight Champion Junior Dos Santos (-175 favorite) takes on a debuting Heavyweight from Bulgaria Blagoy Ivanov (+155 underdog).

Dos Santos has had a storied UFC career for he has compiled a 16-4 record since his arrival to the UFC in 2008 against the most talented heavyweights of the times. However, in his last seven fights he’s realized a 3-4 record which is an indicator of a fighter that may be past his prime and on the downslope of his career (Dos Santos was beaten via stoppage in each of those four losses). Dos Santos is fighting Saturday for the first time since his defeat to Stipe Miocic in May of last year where he was iced in the first round. Also important is that Dos Santos was then pulled from a fight in September of last year for testing positive to performance enhancing substances against Francis Ngannou by USADA*. In April of this year he was re-instated and cleared to fight. It’s quite possible Dos Santos, without the contribution of foreign substances will look even more pedestrian than he has in his last couple of losses. Dos Santo’s main issue is that his once granite jaw now more resembles porcelain and he’s going to step into the octagon Saturday with a Bulgarian bomber who is well versed in mixed martial arts.

Blagoy Ivanov is Dos Santos’ opponent Saturday. He’s a relatively unknown fighter except to many of us fight nerds. He gained unwanted notoriety in 2012on his way to the UFC when he was knifed in a bar fight, fought for his life and after taking a couple years off to recover from near death ramifications has earned his way into this opportunity. Clearly the kid is determined, focused and tough as John Wayne’s saddle.

The 31-year-old Bulgarian fighter first gained FIGHT ever acclaim by defeating Fedor Emelianenko in the semifinals of the 2008 World Sambo Championships. In the decade since, he’s evolved into one of the top young heavyweight talents in a very thin heavyweight talent pool. Ivanov, an international master of Combat Sambo and a black belt in Judo will be the younger man by three years though I consider Dos Santos at this point in his career to display characteristics of a fighter much older than his thirty-four years.

Ivanov will be the shorter man with well less reach and experience however I believe he’ll be able to overcome those potential disadvantages by being the fresher, faster more explosive fighter Saturday night. Ivanov who is as complete a fighter as is Dos Santos moves extremely well for a two-hundred-and-fifty-pound athlete and he’s able to fire for a full three rounds.  It’s my belief from watching his film that the longer this fight goes the stronger Ivanov will become and he’ll eventually be able to dictate the pace and begin to back Dos Santos up. Once that happens this fight becomes a hunt.

This match-up opened as a pick-em but was immediately moved to current pricing which is reflective of the Dos Santos name (and lack of knowledge of Ivanov) but not of each fighter’s ability in my opinion. Ivanov, who looks more like a plumber than a fighter is getting a great opportunity to enter the UFC with a splash by putting Dos Santo’s name on his resume.In the meantime, older heavyweights out there best believe that in a sport as competitive as MMA, and in an organization concerned about drawing power and capital intake that the day will come that they too will be managed as meat and fed to the next up and comer.

Ivanov +155

7-14-2018 update

Northcutt -125 vs. Ottow +115

Ottow is going to try to muscle, maul and bully Northcutt who has shown in past fights that he can be crowded, mauled, taken to the floor and held there. Northcutt’s also moving up to Welterweight (170lb.) where he’s experienced poor results. Yet Northcutt’s only twenty-two years old, he’s athletic, he’s shown a propensity to work on improvement and I base that on the fact that he’s with Faber and crew at Alpha Male where its certain that they’ve been addressing Northcutt’s take down defense and more importantly his wrestling. I also feel at his age that he’s going to be well more powerful and dangerous at this weight if he can utilize his movement and keep Ottow on the outside where he can utilize his kicking game to set up his whole striking arsenal. I also feel the UFC has interest in Sage surging up the rankings to contribute to future ratings, so my belief is that this is a favorable matchup for the kid based on Ottow’s less athletic, deliberate, plodding and somewhat predictable style.

Northcutt -125

Brown -130 vs. Price +110

This fight comes down to my preference for Price’s level of competition faced and his more complete fight arsenal. Though Price can be somewhat wild and unpredictable at times he is tough and comes prepared to fight all night so cardio is never an issue. Brown’s past opponents pall in comparison to Price’s but his precision striking and size will test Price as Price is used to being the taller man in many of his bouts. Brown’s complete lack of wrestling/grappling ability is going to be a target for Price and I believe it’s his path to our profitability.

Price +110

Mendes -115 vs. Jury -105

Mendes opened -230 for this fight and that line’s dropped like a hammer in a lake since its release. I’d agree that -230 may be too stringent a chalk price for a fighter who’s been off for some time serving suspension and has lost three of his last four fights but one look at his level of competition shows that he’s competed with the absolute best of the weight class for years.  

In my view people presume Mendes to be weak in the beak based on his eradication by Edgar so the unknown regarding this and his time off have people thinking that a well-rounded jack of all yet master of none who basically relies on his takedown for offense is going to maul and manage Mendes?

Jury shows up the younger, longer, taller fighter here but his resume is shoddy and his style feeds right into Mendes strengths in my opinion. While Mendes as a firm favorite is not my preference Mendes at current pricing (and I’ll advise waiting on this and determine if this line may yet compress another dime or so from the parlay playing pukes on Jury) is a worthy gamble because yes the time away could have hurt him but in my view time off for a mature wrestling-based fighter feeds the fury and tonight Mendes’ fury is going to be direct at Miles Jury.

Mendes now -115 (or better)

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 


NFL Consulting: Pro Football Profitability - 7/9/2018

NFL Consulting

Welcome potential NFL Consulting clients. At GambLou.com I employ a refined and calculated approach to realizing bottom line profit in Sports Gaming most especially few specialize sports that I focus solely on; the NFL, UFC, NHL Playoffs, MLB Playoffs and College World Series.  I’ve realized bottom line Profitability privately for decades and publicly via GambLou.com for the last five years (the last three years NFL results are displayed on our webpage’s ‘Profitability’ Tab) as I undertake sports gaming strictly as a profit earning business.

The approach is simple: I shoot from a rifle as opposed to a shotgun regarding profitable NFL gaming. I don’t offer my service by the game, the day or the week as I encourage a longer term approach which over time provides profitability. I target Investors that may not have the time to conduct appropriate research but do have a temperament for the benefits that WINNING Sports Gaming delivers. I also mandate that GambLou.com NFL clients are able to afford making unit wagers of $1,100.00 per.  I don’t win every wager but I do realize bottom line profit over the twenty two week NFL regular and playoff seasons. The service requires a monthly commitment because I am confident that after four weeks I’ll be able to display profitability above your initial investment plus profit. 

2014-16 results with win percentages, weekly profits and ROI are displayed for your review on the ‘Profitability tab’ found at the top of the GambLou.com webpage. Further, each week all documented Client results are published in my Money Morning blog. This practice allows those who are interested in the service to review actual results prior to making a commitment for a four week run at NFL profitability. Clients may choose to join at any time during the season but early entry allows for future wagers and Games of the Year which are released prior to the season’s start.

I stand by my results and commit to providing all Clients with their initial investment PLUS return in the first monthly period or I’ll extend the period until the initial investment is recoupled plus profit.

-The Service-

I limit Client relationships each year to a select few. Interested investors should feel free to contact me directly for questions/input as I am always open to dialogue. I strive to completely satisfy those willing to utilize my expertise and in turn create a loyal Client base. Slow matriculated growth is the GambLou.com approach and Client profitability is THE single point of focus.

Each Monday client results are managed so that as a team we are in complete control of client investment amounts, current balances, upcoming positions and bottom line profitability. My service runs for four NFL weeks which has been an appropriate time to show aptitude at NFL gaming and allows Clients to feel comfortable as they watch me operate.

The consulting fee for the initial 4 week period is $500.00. This covers all NFL activity (as well the college positions released via the Legendary Math Model which are always gratis). Clients signing up in August also receive all Future and GOY positions which are provided without charge once the subscription is received. Last year Clients profited handsomely over their weekly NFL profits once our GOY and Future positions cashed. I plan more of the same this August but also exercise some patience on Future releases which may come some weeks into the season. When the value is right we’ll strike!

-Facts-

I am extremely selective with releases and my win percentages have traditionally hovered around the 60% mark. One glance at the archives (all sports are archived and recorded) will display this. My method involves comprehensive Due Diligence, extreme Selectivity with releases and precision money management. Synched together this approach across all sports provides my clients with bottom line profitability.

2014 NFL results (regular season and playoffs):  +$13,100.00 52-37 (58.43%, 13.47% ROI)

2015 NFL results (regular season and playoffs):  +$21,800.00 53-31 (63.1%, 23.54% ROI)

2016 NFL Results (regular season and playoffs):  + $9,500.00 40-27 (59.70% 12.86%ROI)

2017 NFL Results (RS and Playoffs)                         + $10,530.00 47-37 (56% 10.53% ROI)

High win percentages enable me to make aggressive moves with regard to buying off or through key numbers (which I do aggressively). I play middle positions when it is advantageous and work money lines (especially in the playoffs) in order to enhance the bottom line. Critical is the use of the 6pt. -110 teaser, which clients must have the ability to utilize (which is getting more and more difficult).

-My Pledge-

Any client choosing to utilize this service may expect the following:

- 2 to 5 total positions per week which equates to anywhere from 8 to 14 positions total for the initial month (average about 4 releases per week) so profitability must be your goal not ‘action’.
 

- Personal access to me throughout the week via E mail and phone if requested. I interact with each client each Monday to update figures and account to the penny and for the premium price make myself available to clients at any time and for any reason. I often invest aggressively early in the NFL week to obtain line advantage over the gaming market. This provides middle opportunities and other value enhancing maneuvers I actively employ to derive market advantage.

- I am regular attendee’ of the famous but now diminishing Tuesday Meeting in Las Vegas (for years) with fellow professional Las Vegas handicappers (both private and public) on a regular basis to network and discuss profitable positions in an open forum. This form of due diligence is highly relevant and it is for Client’s benefit. The proof is in the results!
 

- NFL Future positions are provided to clients who have subscribed early which means joining in early August will allow you to gain access to any and all Future wagers and games of the year that I release. Last year, Future releases and Games of the Year (GOY) added to Client profits.
 

- Clients must have their own resources with which to invest. Clients must have the ability to buy half and full points and your outlet must accept 6pt two team teasers at -110 (tie is a tie). It also should be stated that Clients should be able to play each release at a minimum of $1,100.00 per release as anything smaller makes it difficult to justify the premium price of my subscription.

- Clients that understand that my approach to Profitable Sports Gaming is run as a strictly business thrive. I track each release and keep precise records of all Client transactions; balances and progress then update each Monday one on one.
- It must be understood that I provide consulting. I don’t take wagers nor do I condone anything that may be construed as illegal. My services are consultative based and focused toward an educated, refined Investor.
 

- Further questions may be addressed with me personally as I pride myself on tailoring the service to client needs. I offer consulting on a highly professional level for people who take their gaming seriously which is verified by the premium price of this undertaking. Those that wish to create a relationship will be dealt with in a professional and courteous manner.
To review last year’s Client testimonials please contact me directly.

 


2018 College World Series: Profitability Report - 6/25/2018

College World Series Final Series

6-29-19 10:45am EST

Final College World Series results:

5-8   38.4%   +1.55 net return  +12.9% ROI

6-27-18 7:30pm EST

Beavers game 2 -155

Beavers series +160

@Twitter release

6-26-18 4:55pm EST

Oregon State -240 vs. Arkansas +200 Series

Oregon State -155 vs. Arkansas +135 game 1

Confused would be the best way for me to describe this CWS Final series from a betting perspective. Yesterday on short rest Heimlich comes -260 to -280 in game one against a rested Knight for the Razorbacks. Tonight, with the extra day seemingly benefiting the Beavers well more than the Hogs the line has tightened all the way to current.

Wind yesterday was in the batter’s teeth at 12-15mph and tonight a gentle wind will blow at their backs to the tune of 10mph tonight so much has changed.

What has not changed is the fact that Arkansas must win tonight with their Ace Knight on the hill as it is my belief that the edge in Oregon State Pitching is in talent and depth and I see little way the Hogs hoist without winning tonight. Also this is the more appropriate and accurate line for this game than the mistake that we almost got to attack last evening.

It’s Ace against Ace and while I’m leery of the Hogs getting too much rest this week I’m also feeling that as poorly as OSU played early his week to still be  in the finals after playing less than stellar ball is incredible. Further, I feel they could be more game ready after having played five CWS games this last eleven days to Arkansas’ 3 games.

Last evening, I posted Knight +240 prior to the rain out so it’s difficult to try to come to grips with a more prepared Beaver team and compound that by only realizing a +135 price on the Hogs.

Pass. Just like a disciplined baseball hitter, one can’t swing at every pitch. Back manana.

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 

 

6-26-18-9:35am EST

Yesterday in Omaha the wionds were 13-15mph from the S/SE. Today they're 10mph from the NW. Everything changes with a day off and new circumstances here. Stay tuned. We'll update pricing for series and game one through the day and have any release up by 6pm EST.

(originally posted 6-25-18 4pm EST)

Oregon State -300 vs. Arkansas +260 (series)

Oregon State -270 vs. Arkansas Knight +240 (game one)

Well hardball Enthusiasts I’ve managed to release both bracket winners this year after naming them both last year. In previous years I’ve managed to pull profit when I  am correct with just one side of the bracket, so this year I’ll earn a little extra profit when one of these teams wins the Championship but there remains a little meat on this College World Series bone. Let’s Play Ball.

I handicap Oregon State as a favorite in this series because of team depth, team experience and team Pitching (even though there will be some tired hurlers taking the hill for the Beavers over these next few days). They’ll get their center fielder back which will help them in the field and at the plate. State will need to be artful in their pitching plan as their starters thus far in the CWS have completely underperformed until Abel’s gem Saturday. Heimlich, tonight’s starter has all the pressure on him as he must deliver for Arkansas’ only way to win this Championship is to win the game their Ace Pitcher Knight plays in. That Knight pitches TO-night.

Arkansas is the fresher team, the more explosive team and with ex-Nebraska coach Van Horn at the helm they’ll be the crowd favorites this series. As mentioned above, the Hogs will toss their undefeated Ace Pitcher Knight at the Beavers tonight and while the Beavers should perhaps be a modest chalk in this game….in no way do I handicap them in this situation as almost a three to one chalk.

Game 1: Arkansas +240 (Knight)

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming