Welcome Puck Enthusiasts to round II where we’ll be privy to continued displays of passion from dynamic young athlete’s that compete for the greatest trophy in all of sport, The Stanley Cup. We find it odd that tonight (and I do not believe this has occurred before) a round II Wales playoff game will drop rubber prior to the start of game seven in a round I clash between the Campbell conference’s Ducks and Predators! This forces us to discuss tonight’s game 7 in the Campbell and Round II of the Wales Conference today then wait to expound on the Campbell prior to their Round II start.
NHL Playoffs 2016 to date: 16-19 +260.000
(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated. We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is accounted for each Monday AM. Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability while providing our readers with 110% disclosure).
Game 7 Ducks -160 vs. Preds +150
The number on this game is almost the same as the initial price we obtained for this series. Puck Enthusiasts that trust us hold a Preds +155 ticket for this series. We’re confident about the Predators chances of moving on. When this series was posted prior to round I, we wrote that the determining factor in our selection of the Preds was net-minder Pekka Rinne and the mixture of experienced and youthful Pred defensemen trying to insulate him. It’s our belief that Rinne will arrive to Anaheim tonight a stone wall for he fully understands that this game is the Preds if he arrives in top form. Plenty of Puck pundits feel the quackers have advantage with home ice but one check of the historical facts tell us the otherwise; The Ducks are 0-4 in their last 4 consecutive game 7’s; the Ducks are 2-5 all time in game 7’s. While this game 7 will be its own game, its own life and its own result, Duck ineptitude in a situation of this importance must be mentioned.
The young and somewhat inexperienced Predator team feels that they have been embarrassed in Anaheim earlier this series. To us they appear to be the little engine that can for they do believe they can win this game. Besides Ol’ Uncle Louie, no one except the Pred fan base (and even they may have doubts) believe in the Preds tonight. We expect the Ducks will be wound tremendously tight in this contest for they’ll be carrying the weight of their past game seven futilities on their shoulders. Add to that the fact that the home crowd will be in full ‘expectation’ mode as this team has gone deep into the playoffs these last couple years. ‘Under Pressure’ as the late David Bowie and Queen sang seems an appropriate way to describe the Ducks here. We’ll side with ‘nothing to lose’ as opposed to ‘wound real tight’.
Preds +150 (or better)
We offer no future Campbell Conference positions currently. Look for Campbell Series/Conference/Cup releases once tonight’s game has been completed and prior to game one of the Campbell Conference Semi’s.
Wales Conference Semi-Finals
The final four teams in the Wales are established. Many believe that the real Conference Finals are being played in this round between the Caps and the Pens which we disagree with. This series should be epic no doubt and we hope it is a full seven gamer. One thing that must be noted is that we scrutinized the brackets for advantage prior to releasing our Wales positions. The feeling at Gamblou World HQ is that we have uncovered gaming value and want to share it. Any Puck purist conducting proper due diligence of the bracket would have understood the most efficient path to the Conference finals was in the bracket opposite the Pens/Caps. While Sid the Kid and Ovie WILL garner attention, and while this series should be epic, we believe that the ferocity and emotion spent winning it will make the victor susceptible to attack in the Wales finals. Very susceptible! The defending Wales Champion Tampa Bay Lightning are being completely disregarded. We feel this is from misunderstanding the importance of the NHL Stanley Cup Playoff bracket, an underestimation of Tampa’s focus as defending champions and a miscalculation on the depth of this Lightning organization, leadership, team and players. So we have an organization disregarded because they entered the playoffs injured. This is why we obtained the value on this group of champions we did (+1000). Oh, did we mention D Anton Stralman is possible to return sometime in this series?
Tampa has been ignored/overlooked in the East because of a lack of comprehensive handicapping and a lack of scrutinization of the Wales bracket in our estimation. Puck Enthusiast’s read us in order to obtain gaming advantage when the frozen rubber hits the ice so here’s the take.
This Tampa team is sound, its complete, it’s deep, they insulate their ‘Minder with a defense first philosophy and they’re anchored in net with Ben Bishop who is one of the top couple net minders remaining in this passionate pursuit to hoist the Cup. ‘From the goal out’ is how this team is designed, it’s how they think and how they play. When this Stanley Cup tournament is completed it’s our opinion that Ben Bishop may well walk with the Conn Smythe.
The ‘Makers must protect themselves (we read this from looking at their lines) from the winner of the Caps/Pens series waltzing to the Cup finals so they’ve dropped the lines on each of those teams to a number offering absolutely no value for the Conference or Series. Meanwhile, quietly and professionally the defending Wales trophy winners focus on the task at hand, the New York Hockey Islanders. If the Bolts earn their way past the Isle’s they’ll get the opportunity to compete with the Cap/Pen winner for the Wales trophy where either the Bolts or the Isles will be underdogs.
We’re flexing on the Lightning for the Wales finals for numerous reasons mostly though because we feel they will be there after this series. We’ll belly up with the Bolts for the Cup too because the current number is obtuse and it offers tremendous value on top of the many aspects to this Tampa team that we think are championship in caliber.
The Isles have every opportunity to win game 1 tonight (we like teams off the quick turnaround). We were tempted to allow game 1 to be completed hoping the Isle’s pull off the upset tonight which would allow us to gain even more value on the Lightning for Conference and Cup prior to game 2. This ploy did not work for us in the Cap/Flyer series but it’s a plan that in seven game series’ can be most profitable.
In this situation we’ll choose to take great value now as the aggressive move we advise for the Lightning below to win the Wales/Cup is really also a wager for them to win this series.
Lightning for the Wales +650 (2 units); Lightning for the Cup +1250
Game 1 Isles +135 (or better)
(It’s taken us decades to refine our puck prowess. We bet Series, Conference and Cup positions and never allow those moves to encumber any daily position. This is very confusing to some but under the rules of a seven game series it is most effective and profitable once one’s skills are honed, let’s trust ours is accurate!)
All Wales Futures and wagers in queue:
Caps for Cup +425; Lighting for Conference: 3 units +767; Lightning for Cup +1250
On Deck for Friday: The Campbell Conference Finals
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