Wales Conference: Florida vs. Carolina

No doubt Florida looks and feels like the real deal but let me caution puckheads that we must be wary of time off, not necessarily in this series but between this one and the Cup final.

Too much rest sounds impossible, it actually sounds desirable, but an imbalance of rest mostly means loss of mojo, sluggish starts and heavy legs EARLY IN A SERIES.

At least if the Panthers are going to win the Wales quickly then they could be in fortunate position because the Knights may acquiesce and do the same against a Dallas team that lost its composure and Campbell Cup with Benn’s bush league cross-check attack on Mark Stone in that last game.

At the end of the day, an equal amount of rest for both teams is desired but not more than 3-4 days unless we want the quality of the hockey to suffer a bit out the gate.

As it is Florida will come a slight underdog in the Final series should they and the Knights meet.

Puck Profitability 2023: 46-36 +21.54 33% ROI

Tonight: We’ve had success with the under in this series but all good thing come to an eventual end.

In Game 1, the total closed 5.5 -130 Over and the game went under the total, Game 2 the total was 5.5 -125 Over and the game went Under, in the last game, Game 3, the total was 5.5 -110 and the result was again an easy Under.

For game 4 the ‘Makers did their part and hung an opening 5.5 Pick-em and the hoards have flocked in to bet the under to current pricing: 5.5 Under -130/-135.

Tonight’s positions: Prop parlay: Series total games, how about a bomb!

Carolina/Florida 6 games +550 to Dallas/Las Vegas 5 games +220; 20/1  .3u

Straight wager:

Carolina/Florida Over 5.5 +115 1u

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Dallas Stars vs. Las Vegas Golden Knights

Last evening in the Wales, I realized a 1-2 result with the loss of .55u.

The Canes look whipped and Florida looks formidable. How about the Matthew Tkachuk Conn Smythe ticket!

As I handicap this Campbell Final, I can’t help believe that the handicap of the Stars was an accurate one. What was missed was the handicap on Jake Oettinger. Thus far in this Campbell playoff season, the only fail on par with that of the Edmonton Oilers is Oettinger’s lack of dynamic for the Stars.

Tonight, there’s home crowd, expectation and heavy betting on the side of the Stars.

The Golden Knight opened +115 and are now +140 and rising…

Road dung

Knights +140

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Wales Final game 3 Carolina at Florida

Welcome puckheads, in both the Wales and Campbell conference tourney’s we have teams a with 2-0 series leads. Tonight, the Panthers return home with a 2-0 lead over the ‘Canes who have had well more playoff success at home than on the road.

In tonight’s most important tilt, the Hurricanes aspire to be the ninth team in NHL history and second in as many years to win a best-of-seven Conference Finals/Semifinals series after dropping each of the first two games. A tall task but an impossible one?

Betting lines for this contest have been unchanged really for the past day or so which means we’ll have to earn our profit tonight!

My feelings are that Carolina must win this game if they have any ambition of realizing each man’s dreams by hoisting Lord Stanley’s Cup this year. We’ll get a desperate, focused effort from Brind ‘Amour’s bunch tonight.

I believe if we were to get a ‘Cane game, then that game tends to be an ‘under’ game. I see little chance Carolina can go into Florida and win a back n forth shootout style of hockey hoedown rather they need to pen the Panthers.

Hurricane’s -105

Hurricanes -1.5 +220 .5u

Interesting or a tell that that the Panthers -1.5 is -230 and longer odds than the Canes?!

Under 5.5 -105

“when they said sit down, I stood up”

Bruce Springsteen Growin up

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Money Morning May 22: Profitability report

Good Day

Except for NFL season, Mondays are for weekly accounting.

Just as any business must have their finger on the pulse of their operation so too does Profitable Sports Gaming need to operate as a living functioning profit making entity.

Now there are hoards that gamble and don’t account and for those players we have nothing but respect because I view betting for recreation as one thing…..

What I do here is quite another.

In the UFC after this past week’s 3-2 + .15u result:

41-37 +11.67u 15% ROI

In the Tournament of Passion:

44-34 +20.69u 33% ROI

These NHL numbers are staggering, my results in the Stanley Cup Tourney over the course of the last 45 years have been proudly profitable. That said, even in 2012 When Jonathan Quick took me to Cup heaven as a 25/1 investor in the LA Kings, I have not realized the consistency enjoyed to date.

We’re currently mid-round in Wales and Campbell pursuits so there’s much work remaining to be done.

It’s Business.

Tonight, there’s passion so I’ll be back later to discuss any releases.

The UFC takes a rare week off which is welcome.

I’ll be fresh and ready to fire for the June 3 UFC event headlined by Kai Kara-France and Amir Albazi from the UFC APEX.

While many MMA folk will bellyache and complain about the card or cards with more obscure talent laced throughout, I’ll remain finitely focused on deriving winning opportunity from that fight card.

Remember fight enthusiasts, there was a fifteen-year period I survived (barely) without focusing on any form of fight competition because boxing had become, and still is, rife with filth, greed, avarice and self-interest.

While I am not hesitant to criticize UFC misconduct and self-interest of which there is much, I’m also quite grateful for the fact that they put on some 44 to 47 fight productions each year.

These productions allow me to operate the successful MMA business you are watching me operate each week…

For that I’m surely thankful.

College World Series Releases coming Early June!

 GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Sunday Puck Passion: Golden Knights vs. Stars

I’ll have much more to say tomorrow but for now we hit a couple nice releases last evening and I’ll hope to continue the feverish pitch into today.

Golden Knights open -125 and now I see -112 to -120 out there.

Golden Knights -115

Recap with profits manana. Enjoy your day

 

Brutha Shue’s Preakness Stakes breakdown

 2023 Preakness Stakes

Welcome to Brutha Shue’s 2023 Preakness breakdown. Shue returns to GambLou after having covered the Nags for me since college days which is almost before horse racing!

Anyway, Shue’s perspective is keen and over the year’s we’ve cashed many times.

I’ll offer my bets after his breakdown.

GL to everyone.

—————————————————

Lou, first of all, the #8, FIRST MISSION (5-2), was scratched early Friday – and a viable contender he was.  So now, an already short field just got shorter. 

I’m going to fade #3 MAGE (8-5) a bit here and roll with Rosario and Asmussen and the #5, RED ROUTE ONE (10-1).  He’s a super deep closer who scorched the field in his most recent effort in the Bath House Row Stakes, reeling in eight horses in a mad dash to the wire, closing that last furlong in 11 seconds! 

A slow pace here will not help him or Mage for that matter, but just hoping Joel will get Red rolling early to catch the leaders.

The #6, PERFORM (15-1) is another one who can close quickly.  Although he has not run-in great company, maybe ole’ Shug will have him ready to hit a 90+ Beyer for the first time and get him to…Perform!  He too, will be 10 lengths off the lead going into the far turn – so yes, he will also come from way, way back. 

I think these two will make for an exciting finish to get to the wire first at Pimlico.  MAGE (8-5) perhaps to hold on to 2nd after being nipped at the wire…maybe?

Shue’s wagers

 $20.00: W-P-S #5 Red Route One (10-1) $60.00

$5.00: W-P-S #6 Perform (15-1)               $15.00

$5.00: EX Box 3-5-6                                       $30.00

                                                    #3 Mage; #5 Red Route One; #6 Perform (15-1)

                                 Total Wager $105.00

 

Puck Passion as an interruption of the Preakness Stakes!

I have future positions working on the Dallas Stars. There’s little to do other than trust they can compete with the depth and overall health/momentum of the Golden Knights which by the way puck heads isn’t going to be easy.

This is the most complete, defensive minded, evenly balanced Knight team since inception…. they should not be underestimated as a viable Cup Hoister!

As I handicap this series, this is the round Star netminder Jake Oettinger (we hold him 35/1 Conn Smythe) needs to separate himself from the rest of the Stanley Cup Playoff netminding participants by taking over this tournament.

Enough with the Vegas and Dallas coaches all being familiar with one another …. the difference between slapping backs and moving on lies between the pipes.

The Knights are a challenge bc they are healthy and if they can compete 5 on 5, they’re as good as any team remaining provided, they keep out of the box.

Our goal is to get Dallas into the Cup final against Florida and Matthew Tkachuk who by the way we hold at +750 for the Conn Smythe!

Let’s have us some profitable fun.

Tonight:

Vegas opens -135 and now they’re -120 and even lower at some spots…

Knights -120

Las Vegas +1.5 games -230; 3.45u to win 1.5u

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Friday May 19 Preakness Stakes NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs

Welcome to GambLou, I’ll have Puck Passion profits posted here later today then ride with this article until manana.

The ‘Bout Business Podcast drops 2pm PT today. Hit the ‘UFC’ tab on this top of this webpage then click on the link to go directly to the podcast!

 2023 Preakness Stakes

Welcome to Brutha Shue’s 2023 Preakness breakdown. Shue returns to GambLou after having covered the Nags for me since college days which is almost before horse racing!

Anyway, Shue’s perspective is keen and over the year’s we’ve cashed many times.

I’ll offer my bets after his breakdown.

GL to everyone.

—————————————————

Lou, first of all, the #8, FIRST MISSION (5-2), was scratched early Friday – and a viable contender he was.  So now, an already short field just got shorter. 

I’m going to fade #3 MAGE (8-5) a bit here and roll with Rosario and Asmussen and the #5, RED ROUTE ONE (10-1).  He’s a super deep closer who scorched the field in his most recent effort in the Bath House Row Stakes, reeling in eight horses in a mad dash to the wire, closing that last furlong in 11 seconds! 

A slow pace here will not help him or Mage for that matter, but just hoping Joel will get Red rolling early to catch the leaders.

The #6, PERFORM (15-1) is another one who can close quickly.  Although he has not run-in great company, maybe ole’ Shug will have him ready to hit a 90+ Beyer for the first time and get him to…Perform!  He too, will be 10 lengths off the lead going into the far turn – so yes, he will also come from way, way back. 

I think these two will make for an exciting finish to get to the wire first at Pimlico.  MAGE (8-5) perhaps to hold on to 2nd after being nipped at the wire…maybe?

Shue’s wagers

 $20.00: W-P-S #5 Red Route One (10-1) $60.00

$5.00: W-P-S #6 Perform (15-1)               $15.00

$5.00: EX Box 3-5-6                                       $30.00

                                                    #3 Mage; #5 Red Route One; #6 Perform (15-1)

                                 Total Wager $105.00

Lou’s wagers

Right now, I’m going to take the #9 Fiaza, the Baffert chalk in the Black-Eyed Susan as the first leg in a Black-Eyed Susan to Preakness daily double.
Leg two: I’ll use the #1 National Treasure 4/1 (Baffert has something to prove?) who will now probably be bet hard and the #5 Shue’s Red Route One (10/1)

I’ll bet $20.00 on each DD wager for a total of $40.00 which is in play today.

I’ll pipe in again tomorrow with Preakness positions!

Wales Conference Final

Wales Conference Final: Carolina vs. Florida

Great hockey is about to come our way and after as much time off as they took, look for ‘hockey’ to be played for a game or two before we see any real ‘passion’ or ‘hatred’ begin to emerge.

The time off (6 days for the Panther and a week for the Canes) helps both teams in the long run but hurts aspirations of a balanced, timing laden offensive attack by either team early in the series as I see it.

In a macro sense, I look for netminders to finally begin to emerge in this round and with them the Under in more of these games. I’ve been judicious in my Under releases (2-0) but I do believe we’ll see more stellar netminding, defense and ‘from the goal out’ execution begin to make marked pronouncements in this round.

So, again perhaps we see some choppy, off balance, low scoring contests in the first few nights of this round until these razor blades get their legs underneath them?

Passion Profitability: 36-34 +15.17u 26% ROI

Future wagers working:

Dallas Campbell +650 1u

Dallas Cup +1950 1u

Matthew Tkachuk Conn Smythe +750 1u

Tonight:

Carolina +1.5games -230/Las Vegas +1.5 games -230 parlay +105 1u

Under 5.5 +110 1u

I’ll be back tomorrow with Puck passion, UFC and the ‘Bout Business Podcast drop midday…you can access the pod by hitting the ‘UFC’ tab at the top of this webpage then access the link to take you right to the podcast.

Brutha Shue’s Preakness releases will be posted just after noon PST tomorrow!

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Profitable Sports Gaming: It’s Business!

Welcome profit passionates.

Yes, the word is out that the new GambLou.com is dishing all forms of Profitable Sports Gaming insight and they’re correct. Here’s an update for 2023: 

2023 UFC; 38-35 +11.48u 15% ROI

2023 Puck Passion; 36-34 +15.17u 26% ROI

Here’s my schedule for the remainder of the week:

Thursday after a cooling off period, the Stanley Cup Playoffs return and with it, the passion, grit, determination and single-minded focus of these participants must be acknowledged at least by me.

So, the Wales Trophy game 1 Florida at Carolina 5pm PT is Thursday’s topic.

Friday, it’s the return of Brutha Shue’s Preakness Stakes breakdown. The Preakness will take precedence on my frontpage until about 3:30pm PT Saturday when they race those Nags in Baltimore.

Game 2 of the Cane’s and Panthers drops at 5pm PT Saturday so I’ll have time to post puck passion after Preakness profits are posted.

Saturday, I’m back into playoff puck with a fever as well we have UFC LV73 as the fights go down from Las Vegas starting at 1pm PT.

Sunday, we’ll review the week, address the passion and begin to discuss the upcoming NCAA Baseball Tournament.