Posted on Author Lou Categories Hockey, NFL, Profitability, UFC

GambLou 2023 Profitability report; NFL Championship opening lines

This week the AFC and NFC Championships will be contested. As we close down the end of the NFL year let’s take a look at opening lines for these games and review GambLou.com profitability.

At the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas: Baltimore opened -3.5ev with a total of 45.5 while in San Francisco, the 49ers came -7 and 52.

These prices may not move too much for numerous reasons this week however I will be tracking the line movement for any opportunities.

GambLou.com 2023 NFL Clients stand 61 and 61, +2.94units representing a 2%ROI

Future wagers released at the beginning of the season that have NOT been recorded yet:

Chiefs Under 11.5 season wins +120; 1.5unit W

Chiefs Under 10.5 season wins +220; .5unit L

Washington Over 6.5 wins +100 1unit L

Houston to win AFC South +220 .35unit W

Houston to win AFC 20/1 .15unit L

Baltimore to win AFC +375 .5unit pending

I’ll invest into the Championship round then into the Super Bowl.

Beating the NFL is no easy task but with the Ravens position pending and a strong Championship performance I look to enhance profitability for myself and all clients.

——————————————–

As January ends my focus becomes exclusively UFC profitability while NHL Stanley Cup Due Diligence is in full swing.

Last year NHL profitability: 55-46 +25.20units for a 29% ROI

After two UFC events in 2024 GambLou ‘Bout Business Podcast Members are 3-5 +.23units for 4%ROI with 3 favorites in upcoming cards earning members Plus money (Yes, that’s correct) and two releases holding positive value based on the pricing today. I’m playing a different game than the hordes making ‘picks’ and selling their swag.

At GambLou.com Investing on select sporting events is strictly Business!

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Posted on Author Lou Categories Hockey

Las Vegas Golden Knights vs. Florida Panthers game 5

Puck profitability: 53-45; +22.67u; 28%ROI; (+1.35)

Game 5

Let me be clear that from the start of this series that my system was shouting Golden Knights and my heart, which by the way is NEVER involved in how I break down any investment matter, was all about the Panther.

I think that between what the kid Tkachuk and master motivator Maurice have done in Florida that I have become supportive of their efforts and I still yearn for a seven-game series.

Looking across the ice, this LVGK bunch is absolutely Cup worthy and what the organization has done in six years is amazing no matter how this series ends. Front office prowess, keen coaching, deep talented teams and home game theatrics are a Vegas trademark.

What Vegas has created in six years a handful of NHL teams could only dream of doing. In fact, there must be plenty of envy among the Buffalo’s and Toronto’s of the puck world that can’t seem to understand that one must play insular hockey if you want your city to hoist!

I congratulate the Las Vegas Golden Knights not only for their success this year but well more importantly for what they’ve done for this sport of Hockey in a gambling sense these last seven years.

Here’s a true story.

One day seven years ago before the Cup Final series but after VSiN had launched I was going onto the air with Matt Youmans to break down the CWS and Stanley Cup.

When Youmans asked then guest Sportsbook director Jimmy Vaccaro if he got “any play in the CWS or hockey”, Jimmy’s response was a dead pan “no” as he walked off the set!

My, my how far has Puck passion come in seven years!

I’m tickled for Golden Knight Cup success because I make a living on this sport and to see hockey thrive, grow and seed passion comes second only to profiting on it.

Tonight, we’ve earned cheese and we’re going to spend some:

Florida +180 and rising .5u

Panthers opened +140 which is higher than game 1 and 2 so the ‘Makers knew what they were lining….. now it’s +180 with Tkachuk out. Wait then jump the best price.

Over 6 ev .5u

Tally’s tonight

 

Florida series +850 .25u

Just win this game 5…

Oh, and have I mentioned our Marchessault +700 ticket?

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Posted on Author Lou Categories Hockey

Stanley Cup Final Florida vs. Las Vegas: What do the Hockey gods say?

To me it’s as simple as the hockey gods.

Yes, the hockey gods have a say in what happens on the ice in a Cup final and with regard to the Golden Knights, it’s my take that that while that the team and the players comprising it are most deserving, their fans and the city surely are not.

It takes some historical perspective to make my comment understandable. Take for instance, Toronto who have been through so much strife trying to simply GET to a Cup final. Then what about the Sabres fans in Buffalo, they’ve been mired in puck mediocrity for decades. I could go on….

Bottom line is this, the Knights won’t win the Cup because they don’t have the team to do it but that their fans and city have simply not served the appropriate time in order to earn it. If you don’t believe me just watch the rest of the series……Vegas have not served the time to earn the Cup.

I believe Panther legs are about to become what they needed to be three games ago when this series began and I believe the team that wins this game 4 tonight will win the Stanley Cup!

 

Posted on Author Lou Categories Hockey

Stanley Cup game 3 Florida vs. Las Vegas

Tonight, we discover if the Florida Panthers can activate their frenetic playoff feet and earn victory over a deep, formidable ‘from the goal out’ Golden Knight group.

As I mentioned prior to the series, a sure momentum changer and the perfect way to quell a red hot netminder is to give him more than a week off before the Stanley Cup Final. Florida must find a way to ‘believe’ once they can sip a little belief this whole series can change…just as the Bruins who were in command of their series with the panthers before Florida found their legs.

From the beginning of this series my head said, Vegas and over, I see little reason to stray from that. My system has the Knights +108 as a play tonight and I’ve not strayed all playoff season from what my model has advised….so I simply can’t get cute now even though I really want to see a six or seven game competitive Stanley Cup Final.

Who knows maybe the model we’ve been riding blows a lug nut but the play is..

Over 6 -110 1u outlay

Go Panthers

 

Posted on Author Lou Categories Hockey

Stanley Cup Final Vegas vs. Florida Game 2

Welcome Puckheads to Game II of the Stanley Cup Final.

In game 1, Florida opened the period up with nimbler, quicker feet and more timing offensively than I had expected. Then in periods 2 and 3 their game became choppy and mistimed.

Tonight, I look for Vegas to continue to apply pressure offensively, for they can insulate netminder Hill by not only protecting him with blueliners but by attacking the Panthers at their underbelly as Florida allows 35.3 shots against per game.

Vegas gaining the lead is their team mandate.

Tonight, Florida must find a way to capture the ‘lightning in a bottle’ that is the offensive brilliance displayed in previous series, followed up by Bobrovsky calisthenics between the pipes.

I believe that the winner of tonight’s game wins this series.

To date: 51-41 +22.90u

 Florida +124 1u

Over 6 +100 1u

Series props:

Florida +1.5 games +100 1u

Futures currently in play:

Tkachuk Conn Smythe +750 1u

Marchessault Conn Smyther +700 1u

LV wins game 1; Florida wins Cup +400 1u

 GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Posted on Author Lou Categories College Baseball, Hockey, UFC

Stanley Cup Playoffs and NCAA Baseball Regionals

Welcome sports Enthusiasts to a big weekend in both College World Series action as well we have the start of the Stanley Cup Final.

Hardball fans that like to enjoy fit players who hustle on every play, play for a ‘title’ as opposed to ‘money’ need to pay attention to this Tournament.

My futures releases are out and by Saturday morning I’ll update any CWS regional positions.

Note: GambLou’s ‘Bout Business Podcast will be posted on this front page Friday afternoon as I’m traveling.

Last but most importantly is the Stanley Cup Cup Final between Las Vegas Golden Knights and the Florida Panthers.

To date puck passion profitability stands:

51-41  +22.90u  29% ROI

All weekend releases for hockey will be found on this front page and those with memberships to college hardball please access the ‘CWS’ tab at the top of this page to learn of any added releases for the weekend.

Swing it Easy!

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Posted on Author Lou Categories Hockey

Campbell Conference game 6: Seeing Stars?

Special Note: College World Series Regional releases by Tuesday May 30! Hit the CWS tab for more information!

 

Dallas hosts Las Vegas tonight in what should be one whale of a hockey contest.

Dallas is going to have to overcome the letdown of coming home for few in the realm of hockey betting know better than we ‘road dung dogsters’ that traveling teams in the NHL playoffs this year are a gravy train!

Playoffs thus far:

Underdogs 42-36-4    Road Dung 45-37    Over 41-40-1 (6-3 this round)

GambLou puck profitability:  49-38 +23.20 33% ROI

 

Tonight:

Knights +120

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Posted on Author Lou Categories General, Hockey

Brutha Shue’s Preakness Stakes breakdown

 2023 Preakness Stakes

Welcome to Brutha Shue’s 2023 Preakness breakdown. Shue returns to GambLou after having covered the Nags for me since college days which is almost before horse racing!

Anyway, Shue’s perspective is keen and over the year’s we’ve cashed many times.

I’ll offer my bets after his breakdown.

GL to everyone.

—————————————————

Lou, first of all, the #8, FIRST MISSION (5-2), was scratched early Friday – and a viable contender he was.  So now, an already short field just got shorter. 

I’m going to fade #3 MAGE (8-5) a bit here and roll with Rosario and Asmussen and the #5, RED ROUTE ONE (10-1).  He’s a super deep closer who scorched the field in his most recent effort in the Bath House Row Stakes, reeling in eight horses in a mad dash to the wire, closing that last furlong in 11 seconds! 

A slow pace here will not help him or Mage for that matter, but just hoping Joel will get Red rolling early to catch the leaders.

The #6, PERFORM (15-1) is another one who can close quickly.  Although he has not run-in great company, maybe ole’ Shug will have him ready to hit a 90+ Beyer for the first time and get him to…Perform!  He too, will be 10 lengths off the lead going into the far turn – so yes, he will also come from way, way back. 

I think these two will make for an exciting finish to get to the wire first at Pimlico.  MAGE (8-5) perhaps to hold on to 2nd after being nipped at the wire…maybe?

Shue’s wagers

 $20.00: W-P-S #5 Red Route One (10-1) $60.00

$5.00: W-P-S #6 Perform (15-1)               $15.00

$5.00: EX Box 3-5-6                                       $30.00

                                                    #3 Mage; #5 Red Route One; #6 Perform (15-1)

                                 Total Wager $105.00

 

Posted on Author Lou Categories General, Hockey

Friday May 19 Preakness Stakes NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs

Welcome to GambLou, I’ll have Puck Passion profits posted here later today then ride with this article until manana.

The ‘Bout Business Podcast drops 2pm PT today. Hit the ‘UFC’ tab on this top of this webpage then click on the link to go directly to the podcast!

 2023 Preakness Stakes

Welcome to Brutha Shue’s 2023 Preakness breakdown. Shue returns to GambLou after having covered the Nags for me since college days which is almost before horse racing!

Anyway, Shue’s perspective is keen and over the year’s we’ve cashed many times.

I’ll offer my bets after his breakdown.

GL to everyone.

—————————————————

Lou, first of all, the #8, FIRST MISSION (5-2), was scratched early Friday – and a viable contender he was.  So now, an already short field just got shorter. 

I’m going to fade #3 MAGE (8-5) a bit here and roll with Rosario and Asmussen and the #5, RED ROUTE ONE (10-1).  He’s a super deep closer who scorched the field in his most recent effort in the Bath House Row Stakes, reeling in eight horses in a mad dash to the wire, closing that last furlong in 11 seconds! 

A slow pace here will not help him or Mage for that matter, but just hoping Joel will get Red rolling early to catch the leaders.

The #6, PERFORM (15-1) is another one who can close quickly.  Although he has not run-in great company, maybe ole’ Shug will have him ready to hit a 90+ Beyer for the first time and get him to…Perform!  He too, will be 10 lengths off the lead going into the far turn – so yes, he will also come from way, way back. 

I think these two will make for an exciting finish to get to the wire first at Pimlico.  MAGE (8-5) perhaps to hold on to 2nd after being nipped at the wire…maybe?

Shue’s wagers

 $20.00: W-P-S #5 Red Route One (10-1) $60.00

$5.00: W-P-S #6 Perform (15-1)               $15.00

$5.00: EX Box 3-5-6                                       $30.00

                                                    #3 Mage; #5 Red Route One; #6 Perform (15-1)

                                 Total Wager $105.00

Lou’s wagers

Right now, I’m going to take the #9 Fiaza, the Baffert chalk in the Black-Eyed Susan as the first leg in a Black-Eyed Susan to Preakness daily double.
Leg two: I’ll use the #1 National Treasure 4/1 (Baffert has something to prove?) who will now probably be bet hard and the #5 Shue’s Red Route One (10/1)

I’ll bet $20.00 on each DD wager for a total of $40.00 which is in play today.

I’ll pipe in again tomorrow with Preakness positions!

Posted on Author Lou Categories Hockey

Wales Conference Final

Wales Conference Final: Carolina vs. Florida

Great hockey is about to come our way and after as much time off as they took, look for ‘hockey’ to be played for a game or two before we see any real ‘passion’ or ‘hatred’ begin to emerge.

The time off (6 days for the Panther and a week for the Canes) helps both teams in the long run but hurts aspirations of a balanced, timing laden offensive attack by either team early in the series as I see it.

In a macro sense, I look for netminders to finally begin to emerge in this round and with them the Under in more of these games. I’ve been judicious in my Under releases (2-0) but I do believe we’ll see more stellar netminding, defense and ‘from the goal out’ execution begin to make marked pronouncements in this round.

So, again perhaps we see some choppy, off balance, low scoring contests in the first few nights of this round until these razor blades get their legs underneath them?

Passion Profitability: 36-34 +15.17u 26% ROI

Future wagers working:

Dallas Campbell +650 1u

Dallas Cup +1950 1u

Matthew Tkachuk Conn Smythe +750 1u

Tonight:

Carolina +1.5games -230/Las Vegas +1.5 games -230 parlay +105 1u

Under 5.5 +110 1u

I’ll be back tomorrow with Puck passion, UFC and the ‘Bout Business Podcast drop midday…you can access the pod by hitting the ‘UFC’ tab at the top of this webpage then access the link to take you right to the podcast.

Brutha Shue’s Preakness releases will be posted just after noon PST tomorrow!

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming