NFL observations from a betting perspective

The Arizona Cardinals should be credited for their efforts and results so far this year. Let’s see how the second half transpires but this team is reacting well to head coach Jonathan Gannon.

Injuries seem high? Yes, because pre-season work effort is minimal. It’s simple.

Saquon Barkley’s play this past weekend was a perfect example of an athlete training for any condition then when confronted with danger, allows instinct and athletic prowess to rule. He never had a chance to think about or set up that move, it was pure instinct.

De’Von Achane is a talented player, and the Dolphins have a group of athletes on offense that can dominate provided they are not competing in inclement weather, and they have a full complement of team weaponry. That defense however is horrendous.

Quietly the Eagles are 6-2 and have not put it all together yet.

There are many teams that are still putting it together. They include the Hawks, Rams, Buc’s, Chargers, Cards, Commies and Steel.

11 of 32 teams have 2 or 3 wins after week 9…. That’s pretty telling results for a league striving to create parity at all costs.

Houston plus 3.5 against the red-hot Lions this week? Yep. This is the first home game for the Texans in a month and the Lions arrive off an emotional win against division rival Minnesota last week. Great spot for Houston.

 

 

“I hid in the clouded wrath of the crowd, when they said, sit down, I stood up”!

Springsteen ‘Growing up”

Sport is cruel.

I wish to offer prayers and best wishes to young Aiden Hutchison. The violence those men deal with daily is beyond most people’s understanding. To see his leg snapped like a twig Sunday only exemplifies how lucky the few are that get to compete at such a high level.  NFL athletes undertake extreme risk on a daily basis.

Davante Adams is going to resuscitate the Jets! I’m not so sure I believe that… the Jets need horses on the O-Line in my estimation, but Adams can’t but help that run game a bit… time will tell with these Jets, Jets, Jets.

One thing’s for certain, as there IS time for them to right that downbound train.

How ‘bout them Cowboys?

Jerry Jones is doing to the Cowboy’s what the children of Papa Bear Halas have done to the Bears. No doubt intentions were and are ‘admirable’ but institutional prowess and execution are flawed. When ‘one’ does not belong in the football business, it shows!

The best news for the Pokes and the Bears? There exists….the Browns and the Bears and Boys ain’t quite there…..yet!

Don’t think I have forgotten about the Raiders!

What Al’s son has done to the culture of that team is unfortunate. Sure, the franchise, like that in Dallas and Chicago even Cleveland are appreciable wealth assets but what about pride? What about serving your people? What about showing up with some dad gummed civic pride for the fans?

Philly? They got head coaching issues and what’s about to boil over there may not be pretty. Someone in the NFC East better watch out for the Commies.

NFC South was supposed to be the cheap suits, yet it seems like they have two legit playoff contenders there.

I hope Tagovailoa can play and maintain full health again. I was lucky enough to be in a huddle from 1967 to 1993 and I understand the importance of team for men of that age. Everlasting bonds man.

Jet’s fire Salah. Unfair, hail yes but it IS the nature of this profession. Salah will be back as soon as he wants to say yes to the many offers to D Coordinate he’ll receive.

Bills, Vikes, Lions, Pack, Texans, Chiefs, Hawks and Steel….Super Bowl winner comes from that group from this week 7 perspective.

The Jags zigged when they should have Jagged. Young QB who entered the NFL with accolades is simply not performing to his reputation…that said, the front office geniuses dumped WR talent this offseason like it was cancerous?

I see some games this week that offer great opportunity based on the reactions (as in over) from last week…. Week 6 was a public slaying of the bookmakers capped off by the Bills cover MNF for the cherry on top.

While I won’t ‘cry no tears’ for the bookies, I’ll assure you that there will be some public confident bet’s coming in on the NFL this week.

 

Each week I’ll drop thoughts on the NFL season delivered from a decades long NFL fan and investor. My positions are meant to stimulate thought and communication not angst or negativity and with that said, I will be frank and blunt about my positions…see some below.

How about acute AFC EAST interest for the first time in many years west of Saratoga Springs, NY?

Chiefs are laydown favorites to win ten games, their division and beyond. What could go wrong?

I guarantee one thing right now and I do it every year with 100% accuracy, here it is:

No one knows a dad gummed thing about what’s going to transpire in the NFL in week one.

I work tirelessly to gain as much intel on players, teams, and organizations prior to week one each year to provide myself with any edge with regard to point spreads, betting and gambling and I realize that I know nothing, it’s the one absolute.

The good news is that others that conduct well less research than I do know nothing also.

Understanding how to invest off of the actions of those with said ‘lack of knowledge’ is a major contributor to my NFL success each week one.

The Niners are a dead under team this year and we bet them as such.

While the Cowboys have talent, they also have tough scheduling, players in contract disputes and a lame ducker in Mike McCarthy?

I don’t think the Bills are as strong as many believe, and I don’t know if Chicago will be able to execute into the hype of their fans this year either.

Why can’t the Seahawks as well as the Rams improve this year?

Even the lowly Cardinals may be able to overcome the ineptitude of their ownership bumbling and compete this year…by that I mean they carry extremely low expectation from the marketplace.

I’m not buying the Falcon hype outside of the fact that this group coming in will show significant improvement from a coaching standpoint than the group the left, it may take a couple of years to show which is how they drafted… if you were paying attention. They also compete in a pretty damn weak division.

The AFC North is going to be a murderers row this year. Those are four complete, competitive playoff erected football teams.

Will we find any rookie QB’s that can come out of the gate like CJ Stroud did last year? I’d caution Chicago that they may have to yield to Denver?

This edition of Musing and Abusing was unusually negative because this time of year I’m only looking to invest in teams to NOT achieve. I wait until immediately prior to the first game before I make positions on which teams I handicap to overachieve, win divisions, eclipse number of games etc.

Musings and Abusing’s next week will list teams I am considering to overachieve and perform well… I wait so that trades, injuries etc. cannot negatively affect my position.

Keep your head on a swivel!

GambLou.com

It’s Business!