I’ll appear on VSiN Live Bet Sunday at 4:30pm PT!
Yesterday I graded three wagers, The Krak straight wager for a net + .72u, the Carolina/Dallas series prop parlay win which returned +.70u then the SU Kraken +1.5 games -120 wager for 1u.
The sole remaining wagers working in this round are the Edmonton Oilers tonight who complete the RR wager. Will those tip-toeing Edmonton Oilers be able to tighten their skates enough to take this series back to Las Vegas to be settled?
Great question.
Profitability: 31-23 +14.33u 30% ROI
Tonight, with an Edmonton win we realize a 3-0 +2.63 evening by completing the RR wager made days ago (Edmonton/Dallas + .66u then the Edmonton/Carolina leg which pays .67; then finally the 3-team portion which pays 1.3u).
However, should the Knights do the inevitable tonight instead of Monday, then we realize 0-3 -1.5u for the evening and I’m not comfortable potentially dropping 1.5u especially when that means moving against my model’s numbers.
Las Vegas +167 or better
In game 3 the Knights closed +155 in Edmonton and won 5-1, then in game 4 they closed +160 and lost 4-1. Now, leading the series in a must win game for the Oil, the Knights are getting +170 and with patience you may get a little more.
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Should Edmonton win tonight we net 1.63u and walk into tomorrow’s passion.
Should the Knights win, we net .20 and move into tomorrow with more profit than we had today. Remember puck heads, minimizing loss is as important as maximizing one’s opportunity to win as well we take hard US dollars to the bank…nothing else.