The ‘Bout Business ‘Sneak-Teep’ Podcast introduction

Today the ‘Bout Business ‘Sneak-Teep’ podcast, a comprehensive review of the opening lines for each week’s UFC card drops for its inaugural session. Get it on my front page or anywhere you get your podcasts!

The 10-12 minute podcast will focus on each week’s UFC opening fight lines, where they have moved and where they may move. It’s a terrific supplement/precursor to the ’Bout Business Podcast as it highlights early thoughts and delivers potential advantageous wagers.

‘Bout Business Podcast 2024

Speaking of the ‘Bout Business Podcast, on January 1st 2024 the only place to access the ‘Bout Business Podcast will be on the GambLou.com webpage.

The podcast is going behind a paywall for the purpose of creating a consistent stream of contributions/donations to the San Xavier del Bac Mission in Tucson, AZ.

I would ask those considering a membership to focus on these pertinent business directives:

  • Everything I do here is business. First proceeds from any podcast income will go to paying off the cost of the new GambLou.com webpage.
  • Green Roll Media is my podcast partner and for two years they have worked with me to initiate our momentum. In 2024, proceeds from podcast memberships (in conjunction with webpage fulfillment) will be paid to Green Roll. They have produced a brilliant podcast for our profitability and it’s time they too receive compensation for their investment into ‘Bout Business Podcast success.

MOST IMPORTANT

  • Investors who sign up for the podcast’s yearly membership (the Tap out, $199.99) will be provided regular updates on the flow of monetary contributions to the Mission.

For decades I have been theorizing on how I could contribute business proceeds to the San Xavier Mission and this is the vehicle I have chosen.

So rather than regard this as ‘Lou cashing in on his ability to provide listeners with winning positions on UFC fights’…. which will always be the case. I’d ask membership holders to regard yourselves as partners with GambLou.com in contributing to a cause that’s been important to me for decades.

As an independent sports handicapper, it’s critical that I try to lead the charge for independent thinking and acting. While the many podcast giants are mongering for hits, tweets, bottom line and selling swag to pad their wallets… our goal here is different.

The intention is to simply create a contribution stream that comes from the ‘Bout Business Podcast and is directed to the San Xavier Mission.

Request

My request is that Fight Enthusiasts consider a membership to the ‘Bout Business Podcast with the understanding that you will not only profit from the positions released (‘Bout Business profit 2023: 28.33units, 16% ROI, average +128) but you will also be teaming with me in directing a steady stream of monetary contribution to the San Xavier del Bac Mission.

For more information on the Mission please hit the ’San Xavier del Bac Mission’ tab at the top of this webpage and you may view my history with the Mission.

Questions, issues, comments? Lou@GambLou.com

Thank you for any consideration

Louis Finocchiaro

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

 

UFC Deposits; Sneak-Teep Podcast

The Sneak-Teep Podcast debuts next Tuesday!

On it, I’ll review opening lines for each week’s UFC event. Line openers, line movement and insight regarding any such movement will be covered in a brief preview on a fight by fight basis.

‘Bout Business Podcast 2023 results to date: 91-87 +28.33u 16% ROI (+127)*

*Note: With the JBJ cancellation each of the 2 parlay legs that we had now convert to a 1 team parlay. For Marcos -135 we earn .75u and with Tafa as -200 we earn .50 so there are 2 wins and 1.25u of profit added because of that cancellation.

Beginning January 1 the ‘Bout Business Podcast will be available ONLY on the GambLou.com webpage. Membership opportunities are available to all. Please go to the ‘Bout Business tab on the top of this webpage for specifics about my goal of creating a contribution stream to the San Xavier del Bac Mission in Tucsom, AZ.

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Money Morning accounting

To date the ‘Bout Business Podcast is: 86-86 +23.18u 14% ROI (+127)

This week at UFC LV81 the ‘Bout Business Podcast experienced a slightly losing week realizing a 2-3 tally for <.35> units of profit.

Minimizing loss is as important as maximizing profits so we’ll take the slight thirty-five cent hit and focus ahead on UFC 294 this week.

Starting October 31st will the GambLou ‘Bout Business Sneak-Teep podcast will deliver opening line information each week there is a UFC event. Tune up then tune it!

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

UFC LV81 Yusuff vs. Barboza: Super fly

Last week’s UFC Las Vegas 80 proved that in the fight game all athlete’s must be respected. I made the blunder of having perceived that Bobby ‘King’ Green had no chance whatsoever in last week’s main event against Grant Dawson.

Green knocked Dawson cold inside two minutes of the opening round. Lesson learned: respect all fighters at all times because every athlete that steps into the cage deserves respect and does have a chance at winning. That was a rookie mistake on my part.

We move forward with a 16-16 -.85-unit tally into this week’s UFC LV81.

Sudiq Yusuff -160 vs. Edson Barboza +135 Featherweight (145lbs.) main event

These are top fifteen ranked athletes which display’s how deeply talented the featherweight division of the UFC is.

Brazilian Barboza now thirty-seven, has earned a Black prajied in Muay Thai, a Black belt in Taekwondo as well a Brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. He’s spent a great deal of his career battering lightweight fighters a weight class above this and has now transitioned into an elite level 145’er.

A devastatingly powerful striker with flamboyant tendencies Barboza requires distance to measure opponents then in the blink of an eye, launch a spinning heel into their temple.

Barboza’s been in with the elite of two divisions, he’s remains able to utilize his athleticism and, in this bout, he’ll be the taller, longer, larger fighter.

In Nigerian Yusuff we have an athletic, ascending fighter decorated with a blue belt in BJJ but nowhere near as awarded as his opponent Barboza.

Yusuff is 6-1 in the UFC but his loss in the co main event three fights back to Arnold Allen displayed more aptitude in that decision loss than Yusuff had offered in all of his previous bouts. He’s since executed two sound victories which seemingly have him in optimal position for this return to elite competition and his first main event opportunity.

Once the bell rings for round 1, it’s reasonable to expect Barboza to utilize his size, athleticism and IQ to remain at distance from the more compact power striker and try to accrue damage from outside of Yusuff’s limited striking range.

Yusuff for his part must understand that he has twenty-five minutes here, patience is required. At thirty, he is in his prime while Barboza is seven years older and cutting dynamic amounts of weight to compete in this division.

A Yusuff plan that involves constant, matriculated forward pressure behind a combination based striking attack is his path to success provided his goal is to tire the old warrior early in this bout then take him into the championship rounds for a beating.

Any plan of challenging the more grizzled MMA veteran into a fire fight in the opening minutes may prove to be unwise. Yusuff must be patient early.

Yusuff’s goal is to take Barboza’s place in the rankings and I believe his youth, complimented by his innate quickness and explosiveness will be apparent in the later stages of this fight when Barboza begins to wane and Yusuff begins to fire.

Yusuff -160

Total in this fight: 3.5Rds. Under -145

Fight starts Round 4 +100

Jonathan Martinez -115 vs. Adrian Yanez -105 Bantamweight (135lbs.)

Two top fifteen ranked Texas athletes will meet Saturday in what may be the most compelling bout on the card.

Martinez, a southpaw has deeper experience and has been in with higher level opponents than has Yanez. His blue belt in BJJ only supplements Martinez’s strength which is based in Muay Thai striking.

Martinez is not flashy, fast, slick or evasive but he is steady, forward pressing, straight with his strikes and numbing with his kicks.

Yanez is the more athletically inclined fighter, he’s the fleeter afoot, he has the faster hands and is overall a more aggressive striker than is Martinez. Yanez owns a black belt in BJJ but I am doubtful we’ll see these two tussle on the floor rather this fight sets up to be a very competitive striking battle.

In this striking battle, It’s the faster more precision striking Yanez that should own advantage early as well as this fight progresses and remains on the feet. Yanez gassed pretty good in his last outing and it’s my judgement that we’ll see a more measured, refined, patient Adrian Yanez and one that knows he must keep this fight standing to win.

I expect Martinez to mix it up more because he can, and he can effectively usurp Yanez’s energy by doing so. It will be interesting to determine which of these two young ascending athletes is able to get their hand raised and be propelled up the rankings of this competitive division.

Total in this fight: 2.5Rds. Under -135

I don’t believe either of these two warriors has any quit or defeat in them. I believe this dance goes to decision.

Over 2.5 Rds. +115

GambLou’s ‘Bout Business Podcast is off yet another profitable UFC Saturday. Catch it Friday around Noon PT everywhere podcasts are offered.

Enjoy the Fights and Thank You for reading

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

UFC LV80 Dawson vs. Green: King-pin’ned?

After a week off, the UFC returns to the APEX in Las Vegas for this week’s fight night production.

Two weeks ago, Mateusz Gamrot +135 defeated elite striker Rafael Fiziev to push profitability this year to 16-15 +.50u for readers.

In 2023 Favorites are running 65%, a touch higher than normal in the UFC with just under a quarter remaining in the calendar year.

Grant Dawson -410 vs. Bobby Green +330 Lightweight (155lbs.) main event

Unranked Bobby ‘King’ Green has fought six times in the octagon since August of 2021 realizing a 3-3 result and having faced elite lightweight talent. Green’s a purple belt in BJJ but really, he’s a fluent street fighter rife with athleticism, evasive defensive habits and fast hands. He’s able to unleash combinations on point and effectively early in fights.

In standing affairs Green’s ability to stick-n-move, his precision accuracy and his nimble legwork enable him to out dazzle opponents early. However, in the later stages of competitive top-level fights, Green who is now thirty-seven can slow down resulting in his potentially get caught (see drew Dober) or simply out wrestled.

Grant Dawson grew up in rural Nebraska as a wrestler. Now a black belt in BJJ Dawson trains in Florida with the many savages at ATT. He’s durable, tough, employs unrelenting forward pressure and his striking has greatly improved.

Dawson’s faced world class opponents but in this one he’ll be getting a slickster, a ‘shuck and jiving’ fleet footed tip-tapper who is going to try to keep his distance from Dawson and touch, touch, touch him into a decision.

Dawson will be the stoic forward pressing athlete whose goal will be to suck the energy from Green by backing him up and forcing him to defend takedowns and even better by forcing him to return to his feet from getting taken down.

In this fight we’ll get the classic striker vs. grappler/wrestler matchup as Dawson does not really wish to get into a striking battle with the defter striker just as ‘King’ Green does not want to take have his busted up thirty-seven-year-old body in bottom position with Dawson reigning damage from the top.

Dawson is an ascending talent in the division and the proof will be in his systematic breakdown of Green.

Release: Dawson -130 to win KO/Submission/DQ

Total in this fight: 4.5Rds Under -215

Joe Pyfer -455 vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan +360 Middleweight (185lbs.)

Pyfer has all the tools to continue his ascent in mixed martial artist. He’s a muscular, power striker who has shown great finishing ability while simultaneously developing his well roundedness. Pyfer’s entering competitive high level grappling tourneys which shows us that he aspires compliment those heavy hands and grow into a legitimate threat in the division.

In Alhassan, Pyfer will get a Judo based power striker who will hold advantages in UFC experience as well the level of competition he has faced. Alhassan arrives off a dominating win and the thirty-eight-year-old Ghanan knows he’s been put in there as a stepping stone for young Pyfer which I do not believe sits well with Alhassan.

Once the bell rings for this fight I believe it’s up to Alhassan to go straight at Pyfer and get into a firefight and it’s my judgement that Pyfer may well accommodate him. It’s in the hysteria of a firefight where I award Alhassan early advantage. His explosiveness, power, experience together make Alhassan a threat against a worthy young warrior that may earn his PhD. in MMA at the hands of Alhassan.

Alhassan is a ‘live’ fighter Saturday night.

Total in this fight: 1.5Rds. Under -215

Alhassan via KO/Submission/DQ +400 offers slight advantage over his straight up price and his most likely method of earning victory would be to catch the young stoic Pyfer with a Sunday shot.

GambLou’s ‘Bout Business Podcast is showing 14% ROI 2023. It drops with all my final post weigh-in releases Friday around Noon PST.

Enjoy the fights and Thank you for reading

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming

Money Morning Profitability report:

Entering October ‘Bout Business Podcast profitability stands: 80-81  +22.58u 14% ROI (+129)

The next fight card is October 7th.

 

 

Look for the ‘Bout Business, Sneak Teep Podcast, a weekly opening line report for UFC cards to begin Tuesday October 31st. Scary!

UFC Money Morning report: blanked!

GambLou weekly UFC profitability took a step backwards last week as I realized a 0-4 -3.5unit evening Saturday in the UFC.

While it’s never easy to report loss, it’s part of the landscape of running a successful business and besides I’ve had so few losing nights thus year that this is easy to account for. I did after all use only a half unit on Christo Giagos which saved us a half a unit.

Rarely do I sweep a UFC board and rarely will I get blanked, each has occurred in the last four weeks which is funny. I would expect it to be some time before wither happen again… I presume.

NFL is now 2 weeks into the season so I’ll begin to post mid-week observations and rants pertaining to NFL starting this week.

UFC 2023: 77-78 +22.80u 15%ROI (+130)

GambLou

Profitable Sports Gaming